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The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian

Measurements are generally collected as unilateral or bilateral data in clinical trials or observational studies. For example, in ophthalmologic studies, statistical tests are often based on one or two eyes of an individual. For bilateral…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Chang-Xing Ma , Kejia Wang

Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud

Clinical trials often aim to compare a new drug with a reference treatment in terms of efficacy and/or toxicity depending on covariates such as, for example, the dose level of the drug. Equivalence of these treatments can be claimed if the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Holger Dette , Kathrin Möllenhoff , Frank Bretz

Recently, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) released draft guidance \citep{FDA2026} signaling a paradigm shift that facilitates the use of Bayesian methodology as the primary analysis and decision framework for drug approval. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Peng Yang , Li Wang , Ying Yuan

As the most important tool to provide high-level evidence-based medicine, researchers can statistically summarize and combine data from multiple studies by conducting meta-analysis. In meta-analysis, mean differences are frequently used…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Dehui Luo , Xiang Wan , Jiming Liu , Tiejun Tong

Randomized clinical trials eliminate confounding but impose strict exclusion criteria that limit recruitment to a subset of the population. Observational datasets are more inclusive but suffer from confounding -- often providing overly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-31 Eric V. Strobl , Thomas A. Lasko

Efficacy testing is a cornerstone of clinical trials, ensuring that medical interventions achieve their intended therapeutic effects. Over the decades, a wide range of statistical methodologies have been developed to address the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-04-13 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Samhita Pal

We propose a method of retrospective counterfactual imputation in panel data settings with later-treated and always-treated units, but no never-treated units. We use the observed outcomes to impute the counterfactual outcomes of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Jason Poulos , Andrea Albanese , Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li

When estimating treatment effects with two-way fixed effects (2WFE) models, researchers often use matching as a pre-processing step when the parallel trends assumption is thought to hold conditionally on covariates. Specifically, in a first…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-17 Yihong Liu , Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

Measuring treatment efficacy in mixture of subgroups from a randomized clinical trial is a fundamental problem in personalized medicine development, in deciding whether to treat the entire patient population or to target a subgroup. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-03 Ying Ding , Hui-Min Lin , Jason C. Hsu

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating the effect of new medical treatments. Treatments must pass stringent regulatory conditions in order to be approved for widespread use, yet even after the regulatory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Omer Noy Klein , Alihan Hüyük , Ron Shamir , Uri Shalit , Mihaela van der Schaar

Caliper matching is used to estimate causal effects of a binary treatment from observational data by comparing matched treated and control units. Units are matched when their propensity scores, the conditional probability of receiving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Máté Kormos , Stéphanie van der Pas , Aad van der Vaart

Individualized treatment decisions can improve health outcomes, but using data to make these decisions in a reliable, precise, and generalizable way is challenging with a single dataset. Leveraging multiple randomized controlled trials…

Given a predictor of outcome derived from a high-dimensional dataset, pre-validation is a useful technique for comparing it to competing predictors on the same dataset. For microarray data, it allows one to compare a newly derived predictor…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-28 Holger Höfling , Robert Tibshirani

Combining test statistics from independent trials or experiments is a popular method of meta-analysis. However, there is very limited theoretical understanding of the power of the combined test, especially in high-dimensional models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Botond Szabó , Aad van der Vaart , Lasse Vuursteen , Harry van Zanten

Intercurrent (post-treatment) events occur frequently in randomized trials, and investigators often express interest in treatment effects that suitably take account of these events. A naive conditioning on intercurrent events does not have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Mats J. Stensrud , Oliver Dukes

Testing differences in mean vectors is a fundamental task in the analysis of high-dimensional compositional data. Existing methods may suffer from low power if the underlying signal pattern is in a situation that does not favor the deployed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Danning Li , Lingzhou Xue , Haoyi Yang , Xiufan Yu

The estimand framework is increasingly established to pose research questions in confirmatory clinical trials. In evidence synthesis, the uptake of estimands has been modest, and the PICO (Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome)…

This paper presents a weighted optimization framework that unifies the binary,multi-valued, continuous, as well as mixture of discrete and continuous treatment, under the unconfounded treatment assignment. With a general loss function, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-20 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Kaiji Motegi , Zheng Zhang