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We propose here a \emph{novel} method which singles out the \emph{a priori} unavoidable dependence on the underlying cosmological model when extracting parameter constraints, providing robust limits which only depend on the considered…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 S. Gariazzo , O. Mena

In scientific applications, predictive modeling is often of limited use without accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) to indicate when a model may be extrapolating or when more data needs to be collected. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Scott Koermer , Natalie Klein

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

A grand challenge of the 21st century cosmology is to accurately estimate the cosmological parameters of our Universe. A major approach to estimating the cosmological parameters is to use the large-scale matter distribution of the Universe.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-07 Siamak Ravanbakhsh , Junier Oliva , Sebastien Fromenteau , Layne C. Price , Shirley Ho , Jeff Schneider , Barnabas Poczos

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

We study an alternative use of machine learning. We train neural nets to provide the parameter estimate of a given (structural) econometric model, for example, discrete choice or consumer search. Training examples consist of datasets…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-10 Yanhao , Wei , Zhenling Jiang

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is rapidly establishing itself as a standard machine learning technique for analyzing data in cosmological surveys. Despite continual improvements to the quality of density estimation by learned models,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-03 Pablo Lemos , Miles Cranmer , Muntazir Abidi , ChangHoon Hahn , Michael Eickenberg , Elena Massara , David Yallup , Shirley Ho

A major challenge in extracting information from current and upcoming surveys of cosmological Large-Scale Structure (LSS) is the limited availability of computationally expensive high-fidelity simulations. We introduce calibrated Neural…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-24 He Jia

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Current and upcoming cosmological surveys will produce unprecedented amounts of high-dimensional data, which require complex high-fidelity forward simulations to accurately model both physical processes and systematic effects which describe…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-11 Aizhan Akhmetzhanova , Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma

Studying the impact of systematic effects, optimizing survey strategies, assessing tensions between different probes and exploring synergies of different data sets require a large number of simulated likelihood analyses, each of which cost…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-07 Supranta S. Boruah , Tim Eifler , Vivian Miranda , Sai Krishanth P. M

CMB anisotropy data could put powerful constraints on theories of the evolution of our Universe. Using the observations of the large number of CMB experiments, many studies have put constraints on cosmological parameters assuming different…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Marian Douspis

We exploit the great potential offered by Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) to directly decipher the internal composition of neutron stars (NSs) based on their macroscopic properties. By analyzing a set of simulated observations, namely NS…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-09-15 Valéria Carvalho , Márcio Ferreira , Tuhin Malik , Constança Providência

Intensive research has been conducted on the verification and validation of deep neural networks (DNNs), aiming to understand if, and how, DNNs can be applied to safety critical applications. However, existing verification and validation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Nicolas Berthier , Amany Alshareef , James Sharp , Sven Schewe , Xiaowei Huang

We introduce new CosmoEJS modules to improve the investigation of the consequences of constraints on the parameter values of cosmological models. We use CosmoMC to fit dark energy models and modified gravity models to recent data from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-14 Jacob Moldenhauer , Francis Cavanna , William O'toole , William Zimmerman

We present a novel approach to estimate the value of primordial non-Gaussianity ($f_{\rm NL}$) parameter directly from the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) maps using a convolutional neural network (CNN). While traditional methods rely on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-26 Chandan G. Nagarajappa , Yin-Zhe Ma

Einstein-Boltzmann Solvers (EBSs) are run on a massive scale by the cosmology community when fitting cosmological models to data. We present a new concept for speeding up such codes with neural networks. The originality of our approach…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Jasper Albers , Christian Fidler , Julien Lesgourgues , Nils Schöneberg , Jesus Torrado

The reconstruction of the CMBR power spectrum from a map represents a major computational challenge to which much effort has been applied. However, once the power spectrum has been recovered there still remains the problem of extracting…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-12-30 Steen Hannestad

We review the status of neutrino mass constraints obtained from cosmological observations, with a particular focus on the results derived considering Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data by various experiments (Planck, ACT and SPT),…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-23 S. Gariazzo

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar
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