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Accurate and reliable forecasting of emerging dominant severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants enables policymakers and vaccine makers to get prepared for future waves of infections. The last three waves of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Jiahui Chen , Rui Wang , Yuta Hozumi , Gengzhuo Liu , Yuchi Qiu , Xiaoqi Wei , Guo-Wei Wei

With the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) across the globe and its continuous mutation, it is of pivotal importance to design a system to identify different known (and unknown) variants of SARS-CoV-2. Identifying particular…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-13 Sarwan Ali , Bikram Sahoo , Naimat Ullah , Alexander Zelikovskiy , Murray Patterson , Imdadullah Khan

The widespread availability of large amounts of genomic data on the SARS-CoV-2 virus, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, has created an opportunity for researchers to analyze the disease at a level of detail unlike any virus before it.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Zahra Tayebi , Sarwan Ali , Murray Patterson

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infectivity is a major concern in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention and economic reopening. However, rigorous determination of SARS-COV-2 infectivity is essentially…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Jiahui Chen , Rui Wang , Menglun Wang , Guo-Wei Wei

Predicting the future evolutionary trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 remains a critical challenge, particularly due to the pivotal role of spike protein mutations. It is therefore essential to develop evolutionary models capable of continuously…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-06 Liaofu Luo , Jun Lv

The importance of understanding SARS-CoV-2 evolution cannot be overemphasized. Recent studies confirm that natural selection is the dominating mechanism of SARS-CoV-2 evolution, which favors mutations that strengthen viral infectivity. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-12 Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Guo-Wei Wei

Tremendous effort has been given to the development of diagnostic tests, preventive vaccines, and therapeutic medicines for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Much of…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-30 Rui Wang , Yuta Hozumi , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

SARS-CoV-2, like any other virus, continues to mutate as it spreads, according to an evolutionary process. Unlike any other virus, the number of currently available sequences of SARS-CoV-2 in public databases such as GISAID is already…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-13 Sarwan Ali , Tamkanat-E-Ali , Muhammad Asad Khan , Imdadullah Khan , Murray Patterson

The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly affected global health, driven by the remarkable transmissibility and mutational adaptability of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Although five variants of concern, Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and Omicron, have been…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-07 Bo Jing , Kai-Rui Zhang , Hong-Li Zeng , Erik Aurell

The functionality of protein-protein complexes is closely tied to the strength of their interactions, making the evaluation of binding affinity a central focus in structural biology. However, the molecular determinants underlying binding…

COVID-19 has affected the world tremendously. It is critical that biological experiments and clinical designs are informed by computational approaches for time- and cost-effective solutions. Comparative analyses particularly can play a key…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Goksel Misirli

Although previous infection and vaccination provide protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection, both reinfection and breakthrough infection are possible events whose occurrence would increase with time after first exposure to the antigen and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-07 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Carolina de la Cal , Augusto Francisco Toma , Pedro Hecht

With the rapid spread of COVID-19 worldwide, viral genomic data is available in the order of millions of sequences on public databases such as GISAID. This Big Data creates a unique opportunity for analysis towards the research of effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Sarwan Ali , Babatunde Bello , Zahra Tayebi , Murray Patterson

The large-scale evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has been marked by rapid turnover of genetic clades. New variants show intrinsic changes, notably increased transmissibility, as well as antigenic changes that reduce the cross-immunity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-20 Matthijs Meijers , Denis Ruchnewitz , Marta Łuksza , Michael Lässig

The increasing spread of COVID-19, caused by the virus SARS-CoV-2, raises concerns about the extent to which mutations have occurred across the viral genome. We present a partial replication of an earlier 2021 study by Wang, R. et al. that…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-28 William Svoboda , Brendan McManamon , Sara Schwartz

A pipeline to evaluate the evolution of viral dynamics based on a new model-driven approach has been developed in the present study. The proposed methods exploit real data and the multiscale structure of the infection dynamics to provide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-25 Andrea Bondesan , Antonio Piralla , Elena Ballante , Antonino Maria Guglielmo Pitrolo , Silvia Figini , Fausto Baldanti , Mattia Zanella

Proteins can exhibit dynamic structural flexibility as they carry out their functions, especially in binding regions that interact with other molecules. For the key SARS-CoV-2 spike protein that facilitates COVID-19 infection, studies have…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-08 Samuel W. K. Wong

The genetic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has caused recurring epidemic waves, understanding its global dispersal patterns is critical for effective surveillance. We developed the Site-based mutation dynamics - Equal Power Sampling (S-EPS)…

The recent global surge in COVID-19 infections has been fueled by new SARS-CoV-2 variants, namely Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, etc. The molecular mechanism underlying such surge is elusive due to 4,653 non-degenerate mutations on the spike…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-13 Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Yuta Hozumi , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei
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