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Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Learning a graph topology to reveal the underlying relationship between data entities plays an important role in various machine learning and data analysis tasks. Under the assumption that structured data vary smoothly over a graph, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-23 Xingyue Pu , Tianyue Cao , Xiaoyun Zhang , Xiaowen Dong , Siheng Chen

Population structure can be modelled by evolutionary graphs, which can have a substantial, but very subtle influence on the fate of the arising mutants. Individuals are located on the nodes of these graphs, competing with each other to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-31 Marius Möller , Laura Hindersin , Arne Traulsen

In many applications of computer vision it is important to accurately estimate the trajectory of an object over time by fusing data from a number of sources, of which 2D and 3D imagery is only one. In this paper, we show how to use a deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Fan Jiang , Andrew Marmon , Ildebrando De Courten , Marc Rasi , Frank Dellaert

Graph embeddings play a critical role in graph representation learning, allowing machine learning models to explore and interpret graph-structured data. However, existing methods often rely on opaque, high-dimensional embeddings, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Astrit Tola , Funmilola Mary Taiwo , Cuneyt Gurcan Akcora , Baris Coskunuzer

Graphs are widely used for describing systems made up of many interacting components and for understanding the structure of their interactions. Various statistical models exist, which describe this structure as the result of a combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-28 Louis Duvivier , Rémy Cazabet , Céline Robardet

We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Demand forecasting is a prominent business use case that allows retailers to optimize inventory planning, logistics, and core business decisions. One of the key challenges in demand forecasting is accounting for relationships and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Nikita Kozodoi , Elizaveta Zinovyeva , Simon Valentin , João Pereira , Rodrigo Agundez

Inferring missing links or detecting spurious ones based on observed graphs, known as link prediction, is a long-standing challenge in graph data analysis. With the recent advances in deep learning, graph neural networks have been used for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Xingping Xian , Tao Wu , Xiaoke Ma , Shaojie Qiao , Yabin Shao , Chao Wang , Lin Yuan , Yu Wu

Learning community structures in graphs has broad applications across scientific domains. While graph neural networks (GNNs) have been successful in encoding graph structures, existing GNN-based methods for community detection are limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Yueqi Wang , Yoonho Lee , Pallab Basu , Juho Lee , Yee Whye Teh , Liam Paninski , Ari Pakman

With rapid urbanization, predicting urban microclimates has become critical, as it affects building energy demand and public health risks. However, existing generative and homogeneous graph approaches fall short in capturing physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Weilin Xin , Chenyu Huang , Peilin Li , Jing Zhong , Jiawei Yao

Learning continuous-time dynamics on complex networks is crucial for understanding, predicting and controlling complex systems in science and engineering. However, this task is very challenging due to the combinatorial complexities in the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Chengxi Zang , Fei Wang

Forecasting graph-based, time-dependent data has broad practical applications but presents challenges. Effective models must capture both spatial and temporal dependencies in the data, while also incorporating auxiliary information to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yang Li , Di Wang , José M. F. Moura

Deep probabilistic forecasting techniques have recently been proposed for modeling large collections of time-series. However, these techniques explicitly assume either complete independence (local model) or complete dependence (global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Kanak Mahadik , Sungchul Kim , Hoda Eldardiry

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

This paper addresses the problem of online network topology inference for expanding graphs from a stream of spatiotemporal signals. Online algorithms for dynamic graph learning are crucial in delay-sensitive applications or when changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Samuel Rey , Bishwadeep Das , Elvin Isufi

A fundamental computation for statistical inference and accurate decision-making is to compute the marginal probabilities or most probable states of task-relevant variables. Probabilistic graphical models can efficiently represent the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 KiJung Yoon , Renjie Liao , Yuwen Xiong , Lisa Zhang , Ethan Fetaya , Raquel Urtasun , Richard Zemel , Xaq Pitkow

The structure of topology underpins much of the research on performance and robustness, yet available topology data are typically scarce, necessitating the generation of synthetic graphs with desired properties for testing or release. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Gongli Xi , Ye Tian , Mengyu Yang , Zhenyu Zhao , Yuchao Zhang , Xiangyang Gong , Xirong Que , Wendong Wang

A graphical model is a structured representation of the data generating process. The traditional method to reason over random variables is to perform inference in this graphical model. However, in many cases the generating process is only a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-31 Victor Garcia Satorras , Zeynep Akata , Max Welling

Graphs are a key form of Big Data, and performing scalable analytics over them is invaluable to many domains. As our ability to collect data grows, there is an emerging class of inter-connected data which accumulates or varies over time,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-08-21 Yogesh Simmhan , Charith Wickramaarachchi , Alok Kumbhare , Marc Frincu , Soonil Nagarkar , Santosh Ravi , Cauligi Raghavendra , Viktor Prasanna