English
Related papers

Related papers: High-Dimensional Knockoffs Inference for Time Seri…

200 papers

Stability and reproducibility are essential considerations in various applications of statistical methods. False Discovery Rate (FDR) control methods are able to control false signals in scientific discoveries. However, many FDR control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Jiajun Sun , Zhanrui Cai , Wei Zhong

This paper studies Time Series Extrinsic Regression (TSER): a regression task of which the aim is to learn the relationship between a time series and a continuous scalar variable; a task closely related to time series classification (TSC),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Chang Wei Tan , Christoph Bergmeir , Francois Petitjean , Geoffrey I. Webb

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Large-scale assessment data typically include numerous categorical variables, often affected by missing values. Motivated by the challenges arising in this framework, we extend the knockoffs method for selecting predictors to settings with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Silvia Bacci , Emanuela Dreassi , Leonardo Grilli , Carla Rampichini

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

Sequentially obtained dataset usually exhibits different behavior at different data resolutions/scales. Instead of inferring from data at each scale individually, it is often more informative to interpret the data as an ensemble of time…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-03-19 Yuan Yang , Jie Ding

Multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistical inference. Although many methods have been proposed to control false discoveries, it is still a challenging task when the tests are correlated to each other. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Meng Mei , Yuan Jiang

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

We tackle the problem of selecting from among a large number of variables those that are 'important' for an outcome. We consider situations where groups of variables are also of interest in their own right. For example, each variable might…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 Eugene Katsevich , Chiara Sabatti

The time series theory is set in this work under the domain of general elliptically contoured distributions. The advent of a time series approach that is in accordance with the expected reality of dependence between errors, transfers the…

We propose an unsupervised anomaly detection approach based on a physics-informed diffusion model for multivariate time series data. Over the past years, diffusion model has demonstrated its effectiveness in forecasting, imputation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Juhi Soni , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Stefan Windmann

This work is devoted to a comprehensive analysis of topological data analysis fortime series classification. Previous works have significant shortcomings, such aslack of large-scale benchmarking or missing state-of-the-art methods. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Polina Pilyugina , Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Eugeny Burnaev

The recent emergence of reinforcement learning has created a demand for robust statistical inference methods for the parameter estimates computed using these algorithms. Existing methods for statistical inference in online learning are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Pratik Ramprasad , Yuantong Li , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Will Wei Sun , Guang Cheng

We consider estimation of covariance matrices and their inverses (a.k.a. precision matrices) for high-dimensional stationary and locally stationary time series. In the latter case the covariance matrices evolve smoothly in time, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

Davis and Mikosch [7] introduced the extremogram as a flexible quantitative tool for measuring various types of extremal dependence in a stationary time series. There we showed some standard statistical properties of the sample extremogram.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-29 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Ivor Cribben

We address the problem of policy evaluation in discounted Markov decision processes, and provide instance-dependent guarantees on the $\ell_\infty$-error under a generative model. We establish both asymptotic and non-asymptotic versions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-17 Koulik Khamaru , Ashwin Pananjady , Feng Ruan , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Time series forecasting (TSF) is critical across domains such as finance, meteorology, and energy. While extending the lookback window theoretically provides richer historical context, in practice, it often introduces irrelevant noise and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Xiang Ao , Yinyu Tan , Mengru Chen

In this paper we consider the problem of obtaining sharp bounds for the performance of temporal difference (TD) methods with linear function approximation for policy evaluation in discounted Markov decision processes. We show that a simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Sergey Samsonov , Daniil Tiapkin , Alexey Naumov , Eric Moulines

Motivation: We consider continuous-time Markov chains that describe the stochastic evolution of a dynamical system by a transition-rate matrix $Q$ which depends on a parameter $\theta$. Computing the probability distribution over states at…

The goal of this manuscript is to conduct a controltheoretic analysis of Temporal Difference (TD) learning algorithms. TD-learning serves as a cornerstone in the realm of reinforcement learning, offering a methodology for approximating the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Donghwan Lee , Do Wan Kim