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Many modern data analysis problems involve inferences from streaming data. However, streaming data is not easily amenable to the standard probabilistic modeling approaches, which assume that we condition on finite data. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-23 James McInerney , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Starting with the neo-Bayesian revival of the 1950s, many statisticians argued that it was inappropriate to use Bayesian methods, and in particular subjective Bayesian methods in governmental and public policy settings because of their…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-11 Stephen E. Fienberg

To estimate accurately the parameters of a regression model, the sample size must be large enough relative to the number of possible predictors for the model. In practice, sufficient data is often lacking, which can lead to overfitting of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-25 Marianne A Jonker , Hassan Pazira , Anthony CC Coolen

Hypertension is a global health concern with an increasing prevalence, underscoring the need for effective monitoring and analysis of blood pressure (BP) dynamics. We analyzed a substantial BP dataset comprising 75,636,128 records from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-25 Seyedeh Somayyeh Mousavi , Yuting Guo , Abeed Sarker , Reza Sameni

Population size estimation based on the capture-recapture experiment is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, criminology, demography, etc. In many real-life scenarios, there exists inherent heterogeneity among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan

The problem of estimating the size of a population based on a subset of individuals observed across multiple data sources is often referred to as capture-recapture or multiple-systems estimation. This is fundamentally a missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Serge Aleshin-Guendel , Mauricio Sadinle , Jon Wakefield

Statistical estimates from survey samples have traditionally been obtained via design-based estimators. In many cases, these estimators tend to work well for quantities such as population totals or means, but can fall short as sample sizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

Bi-clustering is a useful approach in analyzing biological data when observations come from heterogeneous groups and have a large number of features. We outline a general Bayesian approach in tackling bi-clustering problems in moderate to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-11 Han Yan , Jiexing Wu , Yang Li , Jun S. Liu

The determination of the shapes of mortality curves, the estimation and projection of mortality patterns over time, and the investigation of differences in mortality patterns across different small underdeveloped populations have received…

Clinical decision-making demands uncertainty quantification that provides both distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision, requirements that existing methods fail to jointly satisfy. We present a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri , Nasibeh Azadeh-Fard

Sampling geographically dispersed minority populations poses substantial challenges when individual group membership cannot be directly observed. Although stratified sampling can offer efficiency gains, these gains are typically modest…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-08 Kyla Chasalow , Eitan Hersh , Kosuke Imai , Laura Royden

Indirect information on population size, like pellet counts or volunteer counts, is the main source of information in most ecological studies and applied population management situations. Often, such observations are treaded as if they were…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Jonas Wallin , Kjell Wallin

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Edwin Simpson , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

We present a novel Bayesian approach to analysing multiple time-series with the aim of detecting abnormal regions. These are regions where the properties of the data change from some normal or baseline behaviour. We allow for the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-17 Lawrence Bardwell , Paul Fearnhead

Population size estimates for hidden and hard-to-reach populations are particularly important when members are known to suffer from disproportion health issues or to pose health risks to the larger ambient population in which they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Ian Fellows , Kirk Dombrowski

This paper addresses the challenge of obtaining precise demographic information at a fine-grained spatial level, a necessity for planning localized public services such as water distribution networks, or understanding local human impacts on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-17 Anis Pakrashi , Arnab Hazra , Sooraj M Raveendran , Krishnachandran Balakrishnan

Estimating health indicators for restricted sub-populations is a recurring challenge in epidemiology and public health. When survey data are used, Small Area Estimation (SAE) methods can improve precision by borrowing strength across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Aldo Gardini , Lorenzo Mori

Measuring average differences in an outcome across racial or ethnic groups is a crucial first step for equity assessments, but researchers often lack access to data on individuals' races and ethnicities to calculate them. A common solution…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Benjamin Lu , Jia Wan , Derek Ouyang , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

We propose an approximate hierarchical Bayes approach that uses the Natural Exponential Family with Quadratic Variance Function in combining information from multiple sources to improve traditional survey estimates of finite population…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Soumojit Das , Partha Lahiri

In ecology, the description of species composition and biodiversity calls for statistical methods that involve estimating features of interest in unobserved samples based on an observed one. In the last decade, the Bayesian nonparametrics…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Alessandro Colombi , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Lucia Paci
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