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Understanding the heterogeneity over spatial locations is an important problem that has been widely studied in many applications such as economics and environmental science. In this paper, we focus on regression models for spatial panel…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Tianyu Pan , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

We present new MCMC algorithms for computing the posterior distributions and expectations of the unknown variables in undirected graphical models with regular structure. For demonstration purposes, we focus on Markov Random Fields (MRFs).…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-19 Firas Hamze , Nando de Freitas

Models that capture the spatial and temporal dynamics are applicable in many science fields. Non-separable spatio-temporal models were introduced in the literature to capture these features. However, these models are generally complicated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Douglas R. M. Azevedo , Marcos O. Prates , Michael R. Willig

We introduce a new Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler called the Markov Interacting Importance Sampler (MIIS). The MIIS sampler uses conditional importance sampling (IS) approximations to jointly sample the current state of the Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-26 Eduardo F. Mendes , Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn

The problem of completing high-dimensional matrices from a limited set of observations arises in many big data applications, especially, recommender systems. Existing matrix completion models generally follow either a memory- or a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Duc Minh Nguyen , Robert Calderbank , Nikos Deligiannis

This paper presents a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to generate approximate posterior samples in retrospective multiple changepoint problems where the number of changes is not known in advance. The method uses conjugate models whereby the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-15 Jason Wyse , Nial Friel

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

Simulations often involve the use of model parameters which are unknown or uncertain. For this reason, simulation experiments are often repeated for multiple combinations of parameter values, often iterating through parameter values lying…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-22 Jessica W. Leigh , David Bryant

This paper surveys the analysis of parametric Markov models whose transitions are labelled with functions over a finite set of parameters. These models are symbolic representations of uncountable many concrete probabilistic models, each…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

Multilevel linear models allow flexible statistical modelling of complex data with different levels of stratification. Identifying the most appropriate model from the large set of possible candidates is a challenging problem. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Tom Edinburgh , Ari Ercole , Stephen J. Eglen

A Markov network characterizes the conditional independence structure, or Markov property, among a set of random variables. Existing work focuses on specific families of distributions (e.g., exponential families) and/or certain structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yewen Fan , Kun Zhang

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) methods are Bayesian analogs to popular stochastic optimization methods; however, this connection is not well studied. We explore this relationship by applying simulated annealing to an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-08 Changyou Chen , David Carlson , Zhe Gan , Chunyuan Li , Lawrence Carin

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are popular for modeling dependence in large areal datasets due to their ease of interpretation and computational convenience afforded by the sparse precision matrices needed for random variable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-16 D. Andrew Brown , Christopher S. McMahan , Stella Watson Self

Besides the different approaches suggested in the literature, accurate estimation of the order of a Markov chain from a given symbol sequence is an open issue, especially when the order is moderately large. Here, parametric significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-10 Maria Papapetrou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Large or very large spatial (and spatio-temporal) datasets have become common place in many environmental and climate studies. These data are often collected in non-Euclidean spaces (such as the planet Earth) and they often present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Mike Pereira , Nicolas Desassis , Denis Allard

Many ion channels spontaneously switch between different levels of activity. Although this behaviour known as modal gating has been observed for a long time it is currently not well understood. Despite the fact that appropriately…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-14 Ivo Siekmann , Mark Fackrell , Edmund J. Crampin , Peter Taylor