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Age-Period-Cohort (APC) models are well used in the context of modelling health and demographic data to produce smooth estimates of each time trend. When smoothing in the context of APC models, there are two main schools, frequentist using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Connor Gascoigne , Theresa Smith , Andrea Riebler

A common goal in modeling demographic rates is to compare two or more groups. For ex- ample comparing mortality rates between men and women or between geographic regions may reveal health inequalities. A popular class of models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Theresa Smith

To analyze and project age-specific mortality or morbidity rates age-period-cohort (APC) models are very popular. Bayesian approaches facilitate estimation and improve predictions by assigning smoothing priors to age, period and cohort…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-21 Andrea Riebler , Leonhard Held , Håvard Rue

In demographic literature, forecast uncertainty is often quantified with a statistical model. This model-based approach may potentially suffer from drawbacks, namely model misspecification, selection effect, and lack of finite-sample…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 Han Lin Shang

Longitudinal patient data has the potential to improve clinical risk stratification models for disease. However, chronic diseases that progress slowly over time are often heterogeneous in their clinical presentation. Patients may progress…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-05 Dev Goyal , Zeeshan Syed , Jenna Wiens

Entity alignment has always had significant uses within a multitude of diverse scientific fields. In particular, the concept of matching entities across networks has grown in significance in the world of social science as communicative…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-21 James Flamino , Christopher Abriola , Ben Zimmerman , Zhongheng Li , Joel Douglas

Age-period-cohort (APC) analysis is one of the fundamental time-series analyses used in the social sciences. This paper evaluates APC analysis via systematic simulation in term of how well the artificial parameters are recovered. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Yuta Matsumoto

Small-area mortality estimation is inherently difficult, as random fluctuations from low death counts can obscure real geographic differences. We introduce a flexible model that borrows strength across age, space, and time to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-25 Jacob Martin , Carlo Giovanni Camarda

Overlapping asymmetric datasets are common in data science and pose questions of how they can be incorporated together into a predictive analysis. In healthcare datasets there is often a small amount of information that is available for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Matthew McTeer , Robin Henderson , Quentin M Anstee , Paolo Missier

Computational and mathematical models rely heavily on estimated parameter values for model development. Identifiability analysis determines how well the parameters of a model can be estimated from experimental data. Identifiability analysis…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-12 Marissa Renardy , Denise Kirschner , Marisa Eisenberg

We propose a novel method to determine the dissimilarity between subjects for functional data clustering. Spline smoothing or interpolation is common to deal with data of such type. Instead of estimating the best-representing curve for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 ShengLi Tzeng , Christian Hennig , Yu-Fen Li , Chien-Ju Lin

High levels of missing data and strong class imbalance are ubiquitous challenges that are often presented simultaneously in real-world time series data. Existing methods approach these problems separately, frequently making significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Fiorella Wever , T. Anderson Keller , Laura Symul , Victor Garcia

Frequent temporal patterns discovered in time-interval-based multivariate data, although syntactically correct, might be non-transparent: For some pattern instances, there might exist intervals for the same entity that contradict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Alexander Shknevsky , Yuval Shahar , Robert Moskovitch

A common problem in numerous research areas, particularly in clinical trials, is to test whether the effect of an explanatory variable on an outcome variable is equivalent across different groups. In practice, these tests are frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Niklas Hagemann , Kathrin Möllenhoff

A novel framework is proposed for handling the complex task of modelling and analysis of longitudinal, multivariate, heterogeneous clinical data. This method uses temporal abstraction to convert the data into a more appropriate form for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Annette Spooner , Gelareh Mohammadi , Perminder S. Sachdev , Henry Brodaty , Arcot Sowmya

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

Three-level data structures arising from repeated measures on individuals clustered within larger units are common in health research studies. Missing data are prominent in such studies and are often handled via multiple imputation (MI).…

We present an estimation procedure for nonlinear mixed-effects models in which the population trajectory is represented by penalized splines and adapted to individuals via subject-specific transformation parameters. By exploiting the mixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen , Øystein Sørensen

Mixed model repeated measures (MMRM) is the most common analysis approach used in clinical trials for Alzheimer's disease and other progressive diseases measured with continuous outcomes measured over time. The model treats time as a…

Continuous-time multi-state survival models can be used to describe health-related processes over time. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions between the living states, the likelihood is constructed using transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Robson J. M. Machado , Ardo van den Hout
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