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Quasi-Monte Carlo (qMC) methods are a powerful alternative to classical Monte-Carlo (MC) integration. Under certain conditions, they can approximate the desired integral at a faster rate than the usual Central Limit Theorem, resulting in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-22 Jean-Jacques Forneron

Monte Carlo is a versatile and frequently used tool in statistical physics and beyond. Correspondingly, the number of algorithms and variants reported in the literature is vast, and an overview is not easy to achieve. In this pedagogical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-04 Michael Kastner

In this paper, we present a discrete-type approximation scheme to solve continuous-time optimal stopping problems based on fully non-Markovian continuous processes adapted to the Brownian motion filtration. The approximations satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francesco Russo

We propose a novel Monte-Carlo based ab-initio algorithm for directly computing the statistics for quantities of interest in an immiscible two-phase compressible flow. Our algorithm samples the underlying probability space and evolves these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Marco Petrella , Remi Abgrall , Siddhartha Mishra

We present a high-performance budgeted multi-level Monte Carlo method for estimates on the entire spatial domain of multi-PDE problems with random input data. The method is designed to operate optimally within memory and CPU-time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Niklas Baumgarten , Robert Kutri , Robert Scheichl

We present a Monte Carlo approach to pairs trading on mean-reverting spreads modeled by L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Specifically, we focus on using a variance gamma driving process, an infinite activity pure jump process to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Tim Leung , Kevin W. Lu

This paper is on Bayesian inference for parametric statistical models that are defined by a stochastic simulator which specifies how data is generated. Exact sampling is then possible but evaluating the likelihood function is typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Borislav Ikonomov , Michael U. Gutmann

Inspired by recent progress in quantum algorithms for ordinary and partial differential equations, we study quantum algorithms for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly we provide a quantum algorithm that gives a quadratic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-30 Dong An , Noah Linden , Jin-Peng Liu , Ashley Montanaro , Changpeng Shao , Jiasu Wang

A method for the multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) estimation of statistical quantities is proposed which is applicable to computational budgets of any size. Based on a sequence of optimization problems each with a globally minimizing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Anthony Gruber , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju , Zhu Wang

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm designed to simulate quantum as well as classical systems at equilibrium, bridging the algorithmic gap between quantum and classical thermal simulation algorithms. The method is based on a novel…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-27 Tameem Albash , Gene Wagenbreth , Itay Hen

We describe an adaptive importance sampling algorithm for rare events that is based on a dual stochastic control formulation of a path sampling problem. Specifically, we focus on path functionals that have the form of cumulate generating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

The answers to data assimilation questions can be expressed as path integrals over all possible state and parameter histories. We show how these path integrals can be evaluated numerically using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method designed to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-05-27 John C. Quinn , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Simulating samples from arbitrary probability distributions is a major research program of statistical computing. Recent work has shown promise in an old idea, that sampling from a discrete distribution can be accomplished by perturbing and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-13 Chris J. Maddison

In parallelized Monte-Carlo simulations, the order of summation is not always the same. When the mean is calculated in running fashion, this may create an artificial randomness in results which ought to be reproducible. This note takes a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Jherek Healy

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We consider the pricing and the sensitivity calculation of continuously monitored barrier options. Standard Monte Carlo algorithms work well for pricing these options. Therefore they do not behave stable with respect to numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth

Population annealing is a powerful tool for large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. We adapt this method to molecular dynamics simulations and demonstrate its excellent accelerating effect by simulating the folding of a short peptide commonly…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-02-27 Henrik Christiansen , Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) techniques are widely used in a variety of scientific problems and much work has been dedicated to developing optimized algorithms that can accelerate QMC on standard processors (CPU). With the advent of various…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-28 Shuvro Chowdhury , Kerem Y. Camsari , Supriyo Datta

We present a novel variant of the multi-level Monte Carlo method that effectively utilizes a reserved computational budget on a high-performance computing system to minimize the mean squared error. Our approach combines concepts of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Niklas Baumgarten , Sebastian Krumscheid , Christian Wieners