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Rare events are ubiquitous in many different fields, yet they are notoriously difficult to simulate because few, if any, events are observed in a conventiona l simulation run. Over the past several decades, specialised simulation methods…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Rosalind J. Allen , Chantal Valeriani , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

We provide a general framework for learning diffusion bridges that transport prior to target distributions. It includes existing diffusion models for generative modeling, but also underdamped versions with degenerate diffusion matrices,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Denis Blessing , Julius Berner , Lorenz Richter , Gerhard Neumann

The "weighted ensemble" method, introduced by Huber and Kim, [G. A. Huber and S. Kim, Biophys. J. 70, 97 (1996)], is one of a handful of rigorous approaches to path sampling of rare events. Expanding earlier discussions, we show that the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-12-21 Bin W. Zhang , Daniel M. Zuckerman , David Jasnow

A common problem that affects simulations of complex systems within the computational physics and chemistry communities is the so-called sampling problem or rare event problem where proper sampling of energy landscapes is impeded by the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-03-06 Benjamin Pampel , Simon Holbach , Lisa Hartung , Omar Valsson

We propose a methodology to sample from time-integrated stochastic bridges, namely random variables defined as $\int_{t_1}^{t_2} f(Y(t))dt$ conditioned on $Y(t_1)\!=\!a$ and $Y(t_2)\!=\!b$, with $a,b\in R$. The Stochastic Collocation Monte…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

Global dynamics in nonlinear stochastic systems is often difficult to analyze rigorously. Yet, many excellent numerical methods exist to approximate these systems. In this work, we propose a method to bridge the gap between computation and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-07 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

Stochastic finite automata arise naturally in many language and speech processing tasks. They include stochastic acceptors, which represent certain probability distributions over random strings. We consider the problem of efficient…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Martin Jansche , Alexander Gutkin

We consider the filtering problem of estimating a hidden random variable $X$ by noisy observations. The noisy observation process is constructed by a randomised Markov bridge (RMB) $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ of which terminal value is set to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Andrea Macrina , Jun Sekine

Transition path sampling is a method for estimating the rates of rare events in molecular systems based on the gradual transformation of a path distribution containing a small fraction of reactive trajectories into a biased distribution in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Pierre Terrier , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Manuel Athènes

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We present a numerical method for computing optimal transition pathways and transition rates in systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In particular, we compute the most probable transition path of stochastic equations by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Brandon S. Lindley , Ira B. Schwartz

The bifurcation method is a way to do rare event sampling -- to estimate the probability of events that are too rare to be found by direct simulation. We describe the bifurcation method and use it to estimate the transition rate of a double…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-06-06 Hongliang Liu , Jonathan Goodman

Safe control designs for robotic systems remain challenging because of the difficulties of explicitly solving optimal control with nonlinear dynamics perturbed by stochastic noise. However, recent technological advances in computing devices…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Chuyuan Tao , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Hunmin Kim , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

Many complex real world phenomena exhibit abrupt, intermittent or jumping behaviors, which are more suitable to be described by stochastic differential equations under non-Gaussian L\'evy noise. Among these complex phenomena, the most…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaoli Chen

Auto encoding models have been extensively studied in recent years. They provide an efficient framework for sample generation, as well as for analysing feature learning. Furthermore, they are efficient in performing interpolations between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-30 Adam Lindhe , Carl Ringqvist , Henrik Hult

Capturing multimodal natures is essential for stochastic pedestrian trajectory prediction, to infer a finite set of future trajectories. The inferred trajectories are based on observation paths and the latent vectors of potential decisions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Inhwan Bae , Jin-Hwi Park , Hae-Gon Jeon

We consider spatial stochastic models, which can be applied e.g. to telecommunication networks with two hierarchy levels. In particular, we consider two Cox processes concentrated on the edge set of a random tessellation, where the points…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-24 Florian Voss , Catherine Gloaguen , Volker Schmidt

We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate paths conditioned to start in an initial state and end in a given final state during a certain time $t_{f}$. These paths are weighted with a probability given by the overdamped Langevin…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Henri Orland

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$ under a given potential $U(x)$. These paths are sampled with a probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-24 Marc Delarue , Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland