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The chaos expansion of a general non-linear function of a Gaussian stationary increment process conditioned on its past realizations is derived. This work combines Wiener chaos expansion approach to study the dynamics of a stochastic system…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Daniel Alpay , Alon Kipnis

The partition function of the directed polymer model on Z^{2+1} undergoes a phase transition in a suitable continuum and weak disorder limit. In this paper, we focus on a window around the critical point. Exploiting local renewal theorems,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Francesco Caravenna , Rongfeng Sun , Nikos Zygouras

We analyze from the viewpoint of an abstract Markov operator recent results by Nualart and Peccati, and Nourdin and Peccati, on the fourth moment as a condition on a Wiener chaos to have a distribution close to Gaussian. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-30 M. Ledoux

A moderate deviation principle as well as moderate and large deviation inequalities for a sequence of elements living inside a fixed Wiener chaos associated with an isonormal Gaussian process are shown. The conditions under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We discuss a Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) structure underlying a family of random measures $\mathbf{M}_r$, indexed by $r\in\mathbb{R}$, on a space $\Gamma$ of directed pathways crossing a diamond fractal with Hausdorff dimension two.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Jeremy T. Clark

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

We consider directed random polymers in $(d+1)$ dimensions with nearly gamma i.i.d. disorder. We study the partition function $Z_{N,\omega}$ and establish exponential concentration of $\log Z_{N,\omega}$ about its mean on the subgaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Kenneth S. Alexander , Nikos Zygouras

We consider disordered systems of directed polymer type, for which disorder is so-called marginally relevant. These include the usual (short-range) directed polymer model in dimension (2+1), the long-range directed polymer model with Cauchy…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Francesco Caravenna , Rongfeng Sun , Nikos Zygouras

We study the characteristic polynomials of both the Gaussian Orthogonal and Symplectic Ensembles. We show that for both ensembles, powers of the absolute value of the characteristic polynomials converge in law to Gaussian multiplicative…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Pax Kivimae

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

We consider the discrete directed polymer model with i.i.d. environment and we study the fluctuations of the tail $n^{(d-2)/4}(W_\infty - W_n)$ of the normalized partition function. It was proven by Comets and Liu, that for sufficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

A new class of particle systems with sequential interaction is proposed to approximate the McKean-Vlasov process that originally arises as the limit of the mean-field interacting particle system. The weighted empirical measure of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Kai Du , Yifan Jiang , Xiaochen Li

We consider $N\times N$ matrices $X$ with independent, identically distributed entries, and prove that the sequence of measures $\frac{ | \det (X-z)|^\gamma}{\mathbb{E}[ | \det (X-z)|^\gamma]}$ converge to the Gaussian Multiplicative Chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Giorgio Cipolloni , Benjamin Landon

We study non-Gaussian log-correlated multiplicative chaos, where the random field is defined as a sum of independent fields that satisfy suitable moment and regularity conditions. The convergence, existence of moments and analyticity with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Janne Junnila

This paper develops a theory of propagation of chaos for a system of weakly interacting particles whose terminal configuration is fixed as opposed to the initial configuration as customary. Such systems are modeled by backward stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Mathieu Laurière , Ludovic Tangpi

The log-partition function $ \log W_N(\beta)$ of the two-dimensional directed polymer in random environment is known to converge in distribution to a normal distribution when considering temperature in the subcritical regime…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Clément Cosco , Anna Donadini

We establish here a Quantitative Central Limit Theorem (in Wasserstein distance) for the Euler-Poincar\'{e} Characteristic of excursion sets of random spherical eigenfunctions in dimension 2. Our proof is based upon a decomposition of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Valentina Cammarota , Domenico Marinucci

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

We study generalized Hermite polynomials with rectangular matrix arguments arising in multivariate statistical analysis and the theory of zonal polynomials. We show that these are well-suited for expressing the Wiener-Ito chaos expansion of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Massimo Notarnicola

We establish an unexpected phenomenon of strong regularization along normal convergence on Wiener chaoses. For every sequence of chaotic random variables, convergence in law to the Gaussian distribution is upgraded to superconvergence: the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Ronan Herry , Dominique Malicet , Guillaume Poly