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We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem for vector-valued martingale differences using Stein's method, and use Poisson's equation to extend the result to functions of Markov Chains. We then show that these results can be applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 R. Srikant

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

In this paper, we consider a class of nonautonomous multi-scale stochastic partial differential equations with fully local monotone coefficients. By introducing the evolution system of measures for time-inhomogeneous Markov semigroups, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Mengyu Cheng , Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

This work focuses on multivalued stochastic differential equations with jumps. First, by employing the weak convergence approach, we establish the Freidlin-Wentzell uniform large deviation principle and the Dembo-Zeitouni uniform large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Huijie Qiao

We investigate here the behaviour of a large typical meandric system, proving a central limit theorem for the number of components of given shape. Our main tool is a theorem of Gao and Wormald, that allows us to deduce a central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Svante Janson , Paul Thévenin

We study fluctuations of mean-field interacting particle systems around their McKean--Vlasov limit. Our main result provides a uniform-in-time quantitative central limit theorem for the fluctuation process, with convergence rate of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solesne Bourguin , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper we study the problem of semiparametric estimation for a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to estimate the drift coefficient of a MV-SDE based on observations of the corresponding particle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Denis Belomestny , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Mark Podolskij

As an important tool characterizing the long time behavior of Markov processes, the Donsker-Varadhan LDP (large deviation principle) does not directly apply to distribution dependent SDEs/SPDEs since the solutions are non-Markovian. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang

The Ewens-Pitman model defines a distribution on random partitions of $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with parameters $\alpha \in [0,1)$ and $\theta > -\alpha$; the case $\alpha=0$ reduces to the classical Ewens model from population genetics. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Bernard Bercu , Claudia Contardi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

In this paper, we introduce the $\sigma$-antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator for a multi-dimensional diffusion which is an extended version of the original antithetic MLMC one introduced by Giles and Szpruch \cite{a}. Our aim…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-26 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Thi Bao Tram Ngo

The purpose of this paper is to provide a detailed probabilistic analysis of the optimal control of nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems of the McKean Vlasov type. Motivated by the recent interest in mean field games, we highlight the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-26 René Carmona , Francois Delarue

In this paper, we study McKean-Vlasov SDE living in $\mathbb{R}^d$ in the reversible case without assuming any type of convexity assumptions for confinement or interaction potentials. Kramers' type law for the exit-time from a domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Ashot Aleksian , Julian Tugaut

It is well known that symplectic methods have been rigorously shown to be superior to non-symplectic ones especially in long-time computation, when applied to deterministic Hamiltonian systems. In this paper, we attempt to study the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Chuchu Chen , Jialin Hong , Diancong Jin , Liying Sun

A McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation subject to killing associated to a regularised non-conservative and path-dependent nonlinear parabolic partial differential equation is studied. The existence and pathwise uniqueness of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Daniela Morale , Leonardo Tarquini , Stefania Ugolini

In this paper, we investigate a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations under L\'evy-type perturbations. We first establish the existence and uniqueness theorem for solutions of the McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Ying Chao , Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Pingyuan Wei

We establish central limit theorems for the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method in discrete-time, finite-horizon stochastic optimal control. Our analysis is based on an abstract limit theorem for stochastic backward recursions, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Johannes Milz , Alexander Shapiro

This paper studies large deviation principles and weak convergence, both at the level of finite-dimensional distributions and in functional form, for a class of continuous, isotropic, centered Gaussian random fields defined on the unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Simmaco Di Lillo , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) provide a mathematical description of the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles by imposing a dependence on the particle density. As such, we study the influence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Haoming Yang , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

We study the large deviations of a simple noise-perturbed dynamical system having continuous sets of steady states, which mimick those found in some partial differential equations related, for example, to turbulence problems. The system is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-06-05 Freddy Bouchet , Hugo Touchette

We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ling Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Longjie Xie , Li Yang