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In this paper we provide general conditions to check on the model and the prior to derive posterior concentration rates for data-dependent priors (or empirical Bayes approaches). We aim at providing conditions that are close to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

In order to bring contraction analysis into the very fruitful and topical fields of stochastic and Bayesian systems, we extend here the theory describes in \cite{Lohmiller98} to random differential equations. We propose new definitions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Nicolas Tabareau , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

We study a Bayesian approach to nonparametric estimation of the periodic drift function of a one-dimensional diffusion from continuous-time data. Rewriting the likelihood in terms of local time of the process, and specifying a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-14 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , J. H. van Zanten

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

From the classical and influential works of Neal (1996), it is known that the infinite width scaling limit of a Bayesian neural network with one hidden layer is a Gaussian process, when the network weights have bounded prior variance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

We study the sparse high-dimensional Gaussian mixture model when the number of clusters is allowed to grow with the sample size. A minimax lower bound for parameter estimation is established, and we show that a constrained maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Dapeng Yao , Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

We study frequentist properties of a Bayesian high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model with correlated responses. The predictors are separated into many groups and the group structure is pre-determined. Two features of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Bo Ning , Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

We derive the posteror contraction rate for non-parametric Bayesian estimation of a deterministic dispersion coefficient of a linear stochastic differential equation.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We study Bayesian inference in statistical linear inverse problems with Gaussian noise and priors in Hilbert space. We focus our interest on the posterior contraction rate in the small noise limit. Existing results suffer from a certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Sergios Agapiou , Peter Mathé

The monotone rearrangement of a function is the non-decreasing function with the same distribution. The convex rearrangement of a smooth function is obtained by integrating the monotone rearrangement of its derivative. This operator can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Youri Davydov

Gaussian processes are probabilistic models that are commonly used as functional priors in machine learning. Due to their probabilistic nature, they can be used to capture the prior information on the statistics of noise, smoothness of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-02 Ahmad Farooq , Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Simo Särkkä

Many developments in Mathematics involve the computation of higher order derivatives of Gaussian density functions. The analysis of univariate Gaussian random variables is a well-established field whereas the analysis of their multivariate…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-04 José E. Chacón , Tarn Duong

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Vincent Dutordoir , James Hensman , Marc Peter Deisenroth

In Bayesian statistics, posterior contraction rates (PCRs) quantify the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of a true model, in a suitable way, as the sample size goes to infinity. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

We study how the posterior contraction rate under a Gaussian process (GP) prior depends on the intrinsic dimension of the predictors and the smoothness of the regression function. An open question is whether a generic GP prior that does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Tao Tang , Nan Wu , Xiuyuan Cheng , David Dunson

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation of a probability density $p$ based on a random sample of size $n$ from this density using a hierarchical prior. The prior consists, for instance, of prior weights on the regularity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Jüri Lember , Aad van der Vaart

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph
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