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This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

We prove a general lemma for deriving contraction rates for linear inverse problems with non parametric nonconjugate priors. We then apply it to get contraction rates for both mildly and severely ill posed linear inverse problems with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Madhuresh

In this paper we propose a general method to derive an upper bound for the contraction rate of the posterior distribution for nonparametric inverse problems. We present a general theorem that allows us to derive con- traction rates for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Bartek Knapik , Jean-Bernard Salomond

We study the posterior contraction rates of a Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors in nonparametric regression and its plug-in property for differential operators. For a general class of kernels, we establish convergence rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

The aim of this paper is twofold. Firstly, we derive upper and lower non-Gaussian bounds for the densities of the marginal laws of the solutions to backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by fractional Brownian motions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Xiliang Fan , Jiang-Lun Wu

Non-linear latent variable models have become increasingly popular in a variety of applications. However, there has been little study on theoretical properties of these models. In this article, we study rates of posterior contraction in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

The focus of this work is the convergence of non-stationary and deep Gaussian process regression. More precisely, we follow a Bayesian approach to regression or interpolation, where the prior placed on the unknown function $f$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Conor Osborne , Aretha L. Teckentrup

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference with location mixtures of the Laplace density and a Dirichlet process prior on the mixing distribution. We derive a contraction rate of the corresponding posterior distribution, both for the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Fengnan Gao , Aad van der Vaart

In this work, we investigate the estimation of a parameter $f$ in PDEs using Bayesian procedures, and focus on posterior distributions constructed using Gaussian process priors, and its variational approximation. We establish contraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Yuxin Fan , Bangti Jin

Upper bounds for rates of convergence of posterior distributions associated to Gaussian process priors are obtained by van der Vaart and van Zanten in [14] and expressed in terms of a concentration function involving the Reproducing Kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-22 Ismaël Castillo

It is now known that an extended Gaussian process model equipped with rescaling can adapt to different smoothness levels of a function valued parameter in many nonparametric Bayesian analyses, offering a posterior convergence rate that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-06 Surya T. Tokdar

This work explores the dimension reduction problem for Bayesian nonparametric regression and density estimation. More precisely, we are interested in estimating a functional parameter $f$ over the unit ball in $\mathbb{R}^d$, which depends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Elie Odin , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux

We consider a class of linear ill-posed inverse problems arising from inversion of a compact operator with singular values which decay exponentially to zero. We adopt a Bayesian approach, assuming a Gaussian prior on the unknown function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Sergios Agapiou , Andrew M. Stuart , Yuan-Xiang Zhang

Recent works have shown an interest in investigating the frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear models under sparsity constraints. However, there exists a gap in the literature regarding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Marion Naveau , Maud Delattre , Laure Sansonnet

We analyze the posterior contraction rates of parameters in Bayesian models via the Langevin diffusion process, in particular by controlling moments of the stochastic process and taking limits. Analogous to the non-asymptotic analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Wenlong Mou , Nhat Ho , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We consider a non-parametric Bayesian model for conditional densities. The model is a finite mixture of normal distributions with covariate dependent multinomial logit mixing probabilities. A prior for the number of mixture components is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Andriy Norets , Debdeep Pati

We study the theoretical properties of a variational Bayes method in the Gaussian Process regression model. We consider the inducing variables method introduced by Titsias (2009a) and derive sufficient conditions for obtaining contraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

We obtain rates of contraction of posterior distributions in inverse problems defined by scales of smoothness classes. We derive abstract results for general priors, with contraction rates determined by Galerkin approximation. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan