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Temporal grounding aims to localize temporal boundaries within untrimmed videos by language queries, but it faces the challenge of two types of inevitable human uncertainties: query uncertainty and label uncertainty. The two uncertainties…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Hao Zhou , Chongyang Zhang , Yan Luo , Yanjun Chen , Chuanping Hu

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

The uncertainty quantification and risk modeling are hot topics in the operation and planning of energy systems. The system operators and planners are decision-makers that need to handle the uncertainty of input data of their models. As an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Majid Majidi , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatlooa , Alireza Soroudi

Despite substantial improvement in the development of forecasting approaches, conditional and dynamic uncertainty estimates ought to be accommodated in decision-making in power system operation and market, in order to yield either…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-20 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

Spatial systems with heterogeneities are ubiquitous in nature, from precipitation, temperature and soil gradients controlling vegetation growth to morphogen gradients controlling gene expression in embryos. Such systems, generally described…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

In Geographical Information search, map visualization can challenge the user because results can consist of a large set of heterogeneous items, increasing visual complexity. We propose a novel visualization model to address this issue. Our…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Liliana Ardissono , Matteo Delsanto , Maurizio Lucenteforte , Noemi Mauro , Adriano Savoca , Daniele Scanu

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

I overview recent research advances in Bayesian state-space modeling of multivariate time series. A main focus is on the decouple/recouple concept that enables application of state-space models to increasingly large-scale data, applying to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Mike West

Engineering design problems are often modeled as multi-objective optimization tasks in which a scalarized utility function selects an optimal design from the Pareto set. In practice, preferences are imperfectly known, so uncertainty in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-01 Chia-Ruei Liu , Yongjia Song , Qiong Zhang , Cameron Turner

This paper investigates the usefulness of reasoning about the uncertain presence of obstacles during path planning, which typically stems from the usage of probabilistic occupancy grid maps for representing the environment when mapping via…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Jacopo Banfi , Lindsey Woo , Mark Campbell

As large language models continue to be widely developed, robust uncertainty quantification techniques will become crucial for their safe deployment in high-stakes scenarios. In this work, we explore how conformal prediction can be used to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Bhawesh Kumar , Charlie Lu , Gauri Gupta , Anil Palepu , David Bellamy , Ramesh Raskar , Andrew Beam

This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

Bayesian inference is often utilized for uncertainty quantification tasks. A recent analysis by Xu and Raginsky 2022 rigorously decomposed the predictive uncertainty in Bayesian inference into two uncertainties, called aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-25 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata

Uncertainty is inherent to most data, including vector field data, yet it is often omitted in visualizations and representations. Effective uncertainty visualization can enhance the understanding and interpretability of vector field data.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Timbwaoga A. J. Ouermi , Jixian Li , Zachary Morrow , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Chris R. Johnson

Spatial dynamic microsimulations probabilistically project geographically referenced units with individual characteristics over time. Like any projection method, their outcomes are inherently uncertain and sensitive to multiple factors.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Morgane Dumont , Ahmed Alsaloum , Julian Ernst , Jan Weymeirsch , Ralf Münnich

We consider the problem of parameter estimation using weakly supervised datasets, where a training sample consists of the input and a partially specified annotation, which we refer to as the output. The missing information in the annotation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 M. Pawan Kumar , Ben Packer , Daphne Koller

This paper proposes a bandwidth tunable technique for real-time probabilistic scene modeling and mapping to enable co-robotic exploration in communication constrained environments such as the deep sea. The parameters of the system enable…

Simulation-based problems involving mixed-variable inputs frequently feature domains that are hierarchical, conditional, heterogeneous, or tree-structured. These characteristics pose challenges for data representation, modeling, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Paul Saves , Edward Hallé-Hannan , Jasper Bussemaker , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada