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The paradigm for compartment models in epidemiology assumes exponentially distributed incubation and removal times, which is not realistic in actual populations. Commonly used variations with multiple exponentially distributed variables are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-10 P. Hernández , C. Pena , A. Ramos , J. J. Gómez-Cadenas

We study an SEIQR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantined-Recovered) model for an infectious disease, with time delays for latency and an asymptomatic phase. For fast pandemics where nobody has prior immunity and everyone has immunity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-09 C. P. Vyasarayani , Anindya Chatterjee

In this paper we elaborate on homogeneous and heterogeneous SIR-type epidemiological models. We find an unexpected correspondence between the epidemic trajectory of a transmissible disease in a homogeneous SIR-type model and radial null…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-04 Silke Klemm , Lucrezia Ravera

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

We study approximation of non-autonomous linear differential equations with variable delay over infinite intervals. We use piecewise constant argument to obtain a corresponding discrete difference equation. The study of numerical…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Daniel Sepúlveda

Exact solution of the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model is derived, and various properties of solution are obtained directly from the exact solution. It is shown that there exists an exact solution of an initial value…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-04 Norio Yoshida

In this article a generalized mathematical model describing the interactions between malignant tumour and immune system with discrete time delay incorporated into the system is considered. Time delay represents the time required to generate…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-05 Monika Joanna Piotrowska

In this work we introduce a differential equation model with time-delay that describes the three-stage dynamics and the two time scales observed in HIV infection. Assuming that the virus has high mutation and rapid reproduction rates that…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-03-13 Flora S. Bacelar , Roberto F. S. Andrade , Rita M. Zorzenon dos Santos

Compartment models with delay terms are widely used across a range of disciplines. The motivation to include delay terms varies across different contexts. In epidemiological and pharmacokinetic models, the delays are often used to represent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Christopher N. Angstmann , Anna V. McGann , Zhuang Xu

We consider the $SEIRS$ epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Jaroslav Ilnytskyi , Taras Patsahan

Results on continuous dependence on parameters, as well as on regularization, of solutions to linear systems of parabolic partial differential equations of second order with delay are given. One of the main features is that the topology on…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Marek Kryspin , Janusz Mierczyński

Threshold theorem is probably the most important development of mathematical epidemic modelling. Unfortunately, some models may not behave according to the threshold. In this paper, we will focus on the final outcome of SIR model with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

In this chapter, we consider a reaction-diffusion SVIR infection model with dis-tributed delay and nonlinear incidence rate. The wellposedness of the proposed model is proved. By means of Lyapunov functionals, we show that the disease-free…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Mostafa Tahiri , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

Long-term memory is a feature observed in systems ranging from neural networks to epidemiological models. The memory in such systems is usually modeled by the time delay. Furthermore, the nonlocal operators, such as the "fractional order…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Divya D. Joshi , Sachin Bhalekar , Prashant M. Gade

Deterministic compartmental models have been used extensively in modeling epidemic propagation. These models are required to fit available data and numerical procedures are often implemented to this end. But not every model architecture is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Gabriel Turinici

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

Compartmental models are popular in the mathematics of epidemiology for their simplicity and wide range of applications. Although they are typically solved as initial value problems for a system of ordinary differential equations, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Eduard Campillo-Funollet , Hayley Wragg , James Van Yperen , Duc-Lam Duong , Anotida Madzvamuse

In this note, we analyze an abstract evolution equation with time-dependent time delay and time-dependent delay feedback coefficient. We assume that the operator corresponding to the nondelayed part of the model generates an exponentially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Elisa Continelli , Cristina Pignotti

Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang