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We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

In this paper we introduce an agent-based epidemiological model that generalizes the classical SIR model by Kermack and McKendrick. We further provide a multiscale approach to the derivation of a macroscopic counterpart via the mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Markus Schmidtchen , Oliver Tse , Stephan Wackerle

TThis paper presents the dynamics of mosquitoes and humans, with general nonlinear incidence rate and multiple distributed delays for the disease. The model is a SEIRS system of delay differential equations. The normalized dimensionless…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

We study a discrete Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of infectious disease on a homogeneous tree and the limit behavior of the model in the case when the tree vertex degree tends to infinity. We obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

We present a derivation of the classical SIR model through a mean-field approximation from a discrete version of SIR. We then obtain a hyperbolic forward Kolmogorov equation, and show that its projected characteristics recover the standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-21 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

This paper is devoted to the investigation of the nonnegative solutions and the stability and asymptotic properties of the solutions of fractional differential dynamic systems involving delayed dynamics with point delays. The obtained…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-09-23 Manuel De la Sen

We consider an epidemiological SIR model with an infection rate depending on the recovered population. We establish sufficient conditions for existence, uniqueness, and stability (local and global) of endemic equilibria and consider also…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Andres David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

In this study, we present an integro-differential model to simulate the local spread of infections. The model incorporates a standard susceptible-infected-recovered (\textit{SIR}-) model enhanced by an integral kernel, allowing for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Moritz Schäfer , Karol Niedzielewski , Thomas Götz , Tyll Krüger

Throughout human history, epidemics have been a constant presence. Understanding their dynamics is essential to predict scenarios and make substantiated decisions. Mathematical models are powerful tools to describe an epidemic behavior.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-26 Walter HMendes aselein , Diego Eckhard

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia

The theory of Lie-Hamilton systems is used to construct generalized time-dependent SIS epidemic Hamiltonians with a variable infection rate from the 'book' Lie algebra. Although these are characterized by a set of non-autonomous nonlinear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-12-21 Eduardo Fernandez-Saiz , Rutwig Campoamor-Stursberg , Francisco J. Herranz

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

In this research, we have derived a mathematical model for within human dynamics of COVID-19 infection using delay differential equations. The new model considers a 'latent period' and 'the time for immune response' as delay parameters,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Amar N. Chatterjee , Teklebirhan Abraha , Fahad Al Basir , Delfim F. M. Torres

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a semigroup approach to linear integro-differential systems with delays in state, control and observation parts. On the one hand, we use product spaces to reformulate state-delay…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Younes ElKadiri , Said Hadd , Hamid Bounit

Assuming a general distribution for the sojourn time in the in- fectious class, we consider an SIS type epidemic model formulated as a scalar integral equation. We prove that the endemic equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Yukihiko Nakata , Gergely Rost

We consider state and parameter estimation for compartmental models having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. Though the described Bayesian computational framework is general, we look at a specific application to the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Brandon Robinson , Philippe Bisaillon , Jodi D. Edwards , Tetyana Kendzerska , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

We study semi-dynamical systems associated to delay differential equations. We give a simple criteria to obtain weak and strong persistence and provide sufficient conditions to guarantee uniform persistence. Moreover, we show the existence…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Pablo Amster , Melanie Bondorevsky

The impact of spatial structure on the spread of an epidemic is an important issue in the propagation of infectious diseases. Recent studies, both deterministic and stochastic, have made it possible to understand the importance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Alphonse Emakoua

This paper studies the link between the number of critical eigenvalues and the number of delays in certain classes of delay-differential equations. There are two main results. The first states that for k purely imaginary numbers which are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Pietro-Luciano Buono , Victor G. LeBlanc