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In this note, we introduce a general version of the well-known elliptical potential lemma that is a widely used technique in the analysis of algorithms in sequential learning and decision-making problems. We consider a stochastic linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-20 Nima Hamidi , Mohsen Bayati

Consider a situation of analyzing high-dimensional count data containing an excess of near-zero counts with a small number of moderate or large counts. Assuming that the observations are modeled by a Poisson distribution, we are interested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

We study an optimal process control problem with multiple assignable causes. The process is initially in-control but is subject to random transition to one of multiple out-of-control states due to assignable causes. The objective is to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Jue Wang , Chi-Guhn Lee

We study the use of policy gradient algorithms to optimize over a class of generalized Thompson sampling policies. Our central insight is to view the posterior parameter sampled by Thompson sampling as a kind of pseudo-action. Policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Seungki Min , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Daniel J. Russo

The challenge of identifying the best feasible arm within a fixed budget has attracted considerable interest in recent years. However, a notable gap remains in the literature: the exact exponential rate at which the error probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Jie Bian , Vincent Y. F. Tan

A new class of stochastic processes called independent and periodically identically distributed (i.p.i.d.) processes is defined to capture periodically varying statistical behavior. A novel Bayesian theory is developed for detecting a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-04-09 Taposh Banerjee , Prudhvi Gurram , Gene Whipps

Many real-world functions are defined over both categorical and category-specific continuous variables and thus cannot be optimized by traditional Bayesian optimization (BO) methods. To optimize such functions, we propose a new method that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Dang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Alistair Shilton , Svetha Venkatesh

The challenge of constructing feedback control laws for risk-averse optimal control of partial differential equations (PDEs) with random coefficients is addressed. The control objective composes a tracking-type cost with the nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Philipp A. Guth , Karl Kunisch

PAC-Bayes has recently re-emerged as an effective theory with which one can derive principled learning algorithms with tight performance guarantees. However, applications of PAC-Bayes to bandit problems are relatively rare, which is a great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Hamish Flynn , David Reeb , Melih Kandemir , Jan Peters

Estimation and prediction problems for dense signals are often framed in terms of minimax problems over highly symmetric parameter spaces. In this paper, we study minimax problems over l2-balls for high-dimensional linear models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Lee Dicker

We develop a novel procedure for estimating the optimizer of general convex stochastic optimization problems of the form $\min_{x\in\mathcal{X}} \mathbb{E}[F(x,\xi)]$, when the given data is a finite independent sample selected according to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

We propose a new strategy for best-arm identification with fixed confidence of Gaussian variables with bounded means and unit variance. This strategy, called Exploration-Biased Sampling, is not only asymptotically optimal: it is to the best…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Antoine Barrier , Aurélien Garivier , Tomáš Kocák

We consider selecting the top-$m$ alternatives from a finite number of alternatives via Monte Carlo simulation. Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the sampling decision as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, and develop a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Gongbo Zhang , Yijie Peng , Jianghua Zhang , Enlu Zhou

We consider the development of adaptive, instance-dependent algorithms for interactive decision making (bandits, reinforcement learning, and beyond) that, rather than only performing well in the worst case, adapt to favorable properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Andrew Wagenmaker , Dylan J. Foster

Minimax risk and regret focus on expectation, missing rare failures critical in safety-critical bandits and reinforcement learning. Minimax quantiles capture these tails. Three strands of prior work motivate this study: minimax-quantile…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Raghav Bongole , Amirreza Zamani , Tobias J. Oechtering , Mikael Skoglund

The Robbins estimator is the most iconic and widely used procedure in the empirical Bayes literature for the Poisson model. On one hand, this method has been recently shown to be minimax optimal in terms of the regret (excess risk over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Soham Jana , Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu

Bandit Convex Optimization is a fundamental class of sequential decision-making problems, where the learner selects actions from a continuous domain and observes a loss (but not its gradient) at only one point per round. We study this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Xiaoqi Liu , Dorian Baudry , Julian Zimmert , Patrick Rebeschini , Arya Akhavan

This paper considers multiple binary hypothesis tests with adaptive allocation of sensing resources from a shared budget over a small number of stages. A Bayesian formulation is provided for the multistage allocation problem of minimizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-05 Dennis Wei

A sensing policy for the restless multi-armed bandit problem with stationary but unknown reward distributions is proposed. The work is presented in the context of cognitive radios in which the bandit problem arises when deciding which parts…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-20 Jan Oksanen , Visa Koivunen , H. Vincent Poor

Several learning problems involve solving min-max problems, e.g., empirical distributional robust learning or learning with non-standard aggregated losses. More specifically, these problems are convex-linear problems where the minimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Christophe Roux , Elias Wirth , Sebastian Pokutta , Thomas Kerdreux