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Predictions in digital platforms must adapt over time as individuals update their beliefs through social interactions. At the same time, changing predictions alter the content people are exposed to and, consequently, the very beliefs they…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jiduan Wu , Rediet Abebe , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

We use Gaussian mixtures to model formation and evolution of multi-modal beliefs and opinion uncertainty across social networks. In this model, opinions evolve by Bayesian belief update when incorporating exogenous factors (signals from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Yijun Chen , Farhad Farokhi , Yutong Bu , Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Jarra Horstman , Julian Greentree , Robin Evans , Andrew Melatos

Taking a pragmatic approach to the processes involved in the phenomena of collective opinion formation, we investigate two specific modifications to the co-evolving network voter model of opinion formation, studied by Holme and Newman [1].…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-24 Nishant Malik , Peter J. Mucha

Opinion dynamics models such as the bounded confidence models (BCMs) describe how a population can reach consensus, fragmentation, or polarization, depending on a few parameters. Connecting such models to real-world data could help…

The Deffuant-Weisbuch (DW) model is a bounded-confidence opinion dynamics model that has attracted much recent interest. Despite its simplicity and appeal, the DW model has proved technically hard to analyze and its most basic convergence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Ge Chen , Wei Su , Wenjun Mei , Francesco Bullo

Differences in opinion can be seen as distances between individuals, and such differences do not always vanish over time. In this paper, we propose a modeling framework that captures the formation of opinion clusters, based on extensions of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Christian Kuehn , Jaeyoung Yoon

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

We study a two states opinion formation model driven by PageRank node influence and report an extensive numerical study on how PageRank affects collective opinion formations in large-scale empirical directed networks. In our model the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-09 Young-Ho Eom , Dima L. Shepelyansky

This paper examines the interplay of opinion exchange dynamics and communication network formation. An opinion formation procedure is introduced which is based on an abstract representation of opinions as $k$--dimensional bit--strings.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-10-24 S. Banisch , T. Araújo , J. Louçã

The focus of this work is on designing influencing strategies to shape the collective opinion of a network of individuals. We consider a variant of the voter model where opinions evolve in one of two ways. In the absence of external…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Anmol Gupta , Sharayu Moharir , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

Opinion dynamics aims to understand how individuals' opinions evolve through local interactions. Recently, opinion dynamics have been modeled as network games, where individuals update their opinions in order to minimize the social pressure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Yuchen Xu , Yi Han , Chuanzhe Zhang , Miao Wang , Wenjun Mei

The process by which new ideas, innovations, and behaviors spread through a large social network can be thought of as a networked interaction game: Each agent obtains information from certain number of agents in his friendship neighborhood,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-28 Javad Ghaderi , R. Srikant

Opinion evolution and judgment revision are mediated through social influence. Based on a large crowdsourced in vitro experiment (n=861), it is shown how a consensus model can be used to predict opinion evolution in online collective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Corentin Vande Kerckhove , Samuel Martin , Pascal Gend , Peter J. Rentfrow , Julien M. Hendrickx , Vincent D. Blondel

This paper revises previous work and introduces changes in spatio-temporal scales. The paper presents a model that includes layers A and B with varying degrees of forgetting and dependence over time. We also model changes in dependence and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-26 Yasuko Kawahata

Taking a decision in democratic social groups is based on the opinion of the majority or on the consensus. So, the study of opinion dynamics is of great interest in analyzing social phenomena. Among the different models of opinion dynamics,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-22 E. Kurmyshev , H. A. Juárez

Unlike many complex networks studied in the literature, social networks rarely exhibit unanimous behavior, or consensus. This requires a development of mathematical models that are sufficiently simple to be examined and capture, at the same…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Sergey E. Parsegov , Anton V. Proskurnikov , Roberto Tempo , Noah E. Friedkin

Models of continuous opinion dynamics under bounded confidence show a sharp transition between a consensus and a polarization phase at a critical global bound of confidence. In this paper, heterogeneous bounds of confidence are studied. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-12-07 Jan Lorenz

The spatial organization of individuals and their interactions in communities are important factors known to preserve diversity in many complex systems. Inspired by metapopulation models from ecology, we study opinion formation using a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-19 Tim Mauch , Thilo Gross

We consider the phenomenon of opinion shift to the extreme reported in the social psychology literature. We argue that a good candidate to model this phenomenon can be a new variant of the bounded confidence (BC) model, the smooth BC model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard , Gerard Weisbuch
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