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In this paper we consider the estimation problem for high quantiles of a heavy-tailed distribution from block data when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. We propose estimators for high quantiles and prove that these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Yongcheng Qi , Mengzi Xie , Jingping Yang

This project investigates the applicability of quasi-Monte Carlo methods to Euclidean lattice systems in order to improve the asymptotic error scaling of observables for such theories. The error of an observable calculated by averaging over…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-11-20 Andreas Ammon , Tobias Hartung , Karl Jansen , Hernan Leovey , Andreas Griewank , Micheal Müller-Preussker

The current and upcoming generation of Very Large Volume Neutrino Telescopes---collecting unprecedented quantities of neutrino events---can be used to explore subtle effects in oscillation physics, such as (but not restricted to) the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-12-05 IceCube Collaboration , M. G. Aartsen , M. Ackermann , J. Adams , J. A. Aguilar , M. Ahlers , M. Ahrens , I. Al Samarai , D. Altmann , K. Andeen , T. Anderson , I. Ansseau , G. Anton , C. Argüelles , T. C. Arlen , J. Auffenberg , S. Axani , H. Bagherpour , X. Bai , A. Balagopal V. , J. P. Barron , I. Bartos , S. W. Barwick , V. Baum , R. Bay , J. J. Beatty , J. Becker Tjus , K. -H. Becker , S. BenZvi , D. Berley , E. Bernardini , D. Z. Besson , G. Binder , D. Bindig , E. Blaufuss , S. Blot , C. Bohm , M. Bohmer , M. Börner , F. Bos , S. Böser , O. Botner , E. Bourbeau , J. Bourbeau , F. Bradascio , J. Braun , M. Brenzke , H. -P. Bretz , S. Bron , J. Brostean-Kaiser , A. Burgman , R. S. Busse , T. Carver , E. Cheung , D. Chirkin , A. Christov , K. Clark , L. Classen , G. H. Collin , J. M. Conrad , P. Coppin , P. Correa , D. F. Cowen , R. Cross , P. Dave , M. Day , J. P. A. M. de André , C. De Clercq , J. J. DeLaunay , H. Dembinski , S. De Ridder , P. Desiati , K. D. de Vries , G. de Wasseige , M. de With , T. DeYoung , J. C. Díaz-Vélez , V. di Lorenzo , H. Dujmovic , J. P. Dumm , M. Dunkman , M. A. DuVernois , E. Dvorak , B. Eberhardt , T. Ehrhardt , B. Eichmann , P. Eller , R. Engel , J. J. Evans , P. A. Evenson , S. Fahey , A. R. Fazely , J. Felde , K. Filimonov , C. Finley , S. Flis , A. Franckowiak , E. Friedman , A. Fritz , T. K. Gaisser , J. Gallagher , A. Gartner , L. Gerhardt , R. Gernhaeuser , K. Ghorbani , W. Giang , T. Glauch , T. Glüsenkamp , A. Goldschmidt , J. G. Gonzalez , D. Grant , Z. Griffith , C. Haack , A. Hallgren , F. Halzen , K. Hanson , J. Haugen , A. Haungs , D. Hebecker , D. Heereman , K. Helbing , R. Hellauer , F. Henningsen , S. Hickford , J. Hignight , G. C. Hill , K. D. Hoffman , B. Hoffmann , R. Hoffmann , T. Hoinka , B. Hokanson-Fasig , K. Holzapfel , K. Hoshina , F. Huang , M. Huber , T. Huber , T. Huege , K. Hultqvist , M. Hünnefeld , R. Hussain , S. In , N. Iovine , A. Ishihara , E. Jacobi , G. S. Japaridze , M. Jeong , K. Jero , B. J. P. Jones , P. Kalaczynski , O. Kalekin , W. Kang , D. Kang , A. Kappes , D. Kappesser , T. Karg , A. Karle , T. Katori , U. Katz , M. Kauer , A. Keivani , J. L. Kelley , A. Kheirandish , J. Kim , M. Kim , T. Kintscher , J. Kiryluk , T. Kittler , S. R. Klein , R. Koirala , H. Kolanoski , L. Köpke , C. Kopper , S. Kopper , J. P. Koschinsky , D. J. Koskinen , M. Kowalski , C. B. Krauss , K. Krings , M. Kroll , G. Krückl , S. Kunwar , N. Kurahashi , T. Kuwabara , A. Kyriacou , M. Labare , J. L. Lanfranchi , M. J. Larson , F. Lauber , D. Lennarz , K. Leonard , M. Lesiak-Bzdak , A. Leszczynska , M. Leuermann , Q. R. Liu , E. Lohfink , J. LoSecco , C. J. Lozano Mariscal , L. Lu , J. Lünemann , W. Luszczak , J. Madsen , G. Maggi , K. B. M. Mahn , S. Mancina , S. Mandalia , S. Marka , Z. Marka , R. Maruyama , K. Mase , R. Maunu , K. Meagher , M. Medici , M. Meier , T. Menne , G. Merino , T. Meures , S. Miarecki , J. Micallef , G. Momenté , T. Montaruli , R. W. Moore , M. Moulai , R. Nahnhauer , P. Nakarmi , U. Naumann , G. Neer , H. Niederhausen , S. C. Nowicki , D. R. Nygren , A. Obertacke Pollmann , M. Oehler , A. Olivas , A. O'Murchadha , E. O'Sullivan , A. Palazzo , T. Palczewski , H. Pandya , D. V. Pankova , L. Papp , P. Peiffer , J. A. Pepper , C. Pérez de los Heros , T. C. Petersen , D. Pieloth , E. Pinat , J. L. Pinfold , M. Plum , P. B. Price , G. T. Przybylski , C. Raab , L. Rädel , M. Rameez , L. Rauch , K. Rawlins , I. C. Rea , R. Reimann , B. Relethford , M. Relich , M. Renschler , E. Resconi , W. Rhode , M. Richman , M. Riegel , S. Robertson , M. Rongen , C. Rott , T. Ruhe , D. Ryckbosch , D. Rysewyk , I. Safa , T. Sälzer , S. E. Sanchez Herrera , A. Sandrock , J. Sandroos , P. Sandstrom , M. Santander , S. Sarkar , S. Sarkar , K. Satalecka , H. Schieler , P. Schlunder , T. Schmidt , A. Schneider , S. Schoenen , S. Schöneberg , F. G. Schröder , L. Schumacher , S. Sclafani , D. Seckel , S. Seunarine , M. H. Shaevitz , J. Soedingrekso , D. Soldin , S. Söldner-Rembold , M. Song , G. M. Spiczak , C. Spiering , J. Stachurska , M. Stamatikos , T. Stanev , A. Stasik , R. Stein , J. Stettner , A. Steuer , T. Stezelberger , R. G. Stokstad , A. Stößl , N. L. Strotjohann , T. Stuttard , G. W. Sullivan , M. Sutherland , I. Taboada , A. Taketa , H. K. M. Tanaka , J. Tatar , F. Tenholt , S. Ter-Antonyan , A. Terliuk , S. Tilav , P. A. Toale , M. N. Tobin , C. Tönnis , S. Toscano , D. Tosi , M. Tselengidou , C. F. Tung , A. Turcati , C. F. Turley , B. Ty , E. Unger , M. Usner , J. Vandenbroucke , W. Van Driessche , D. van Eijk , N. van Eijndhoven , S. Vanheule , J. van Santen , D. Veberic , E. Vogel , M. Vraeghe , C. Walck , A. Wallace , M. Wallraff , F. D. Wandler , N. Wandkowsky , A. Waza , C. Weaver , A. Weindl , M. J. Weiss , C. Wendt , J. Werthebach , S. Westerhoff , B. J. Whelan , K. Wiebe , C. H. Wiebusch , L. Wille , D. R. Williams , L. Wills , M. Wolf , J. Wood , T. R. Wood , E. Woolsey , K. Woschnagg , G. Wrede , S. Wren , D. L. Xu , X. W. Xu , Y. Xu , J. P. Yanez , G. Yodh , S. Yoshida , T. Yuan

In this work we present a theoretical study on the propagation of light in heterogeneous systems with fluctuating optical properties. To understand the consequences of the fluctuations we perform numerical calculations with uniform and non…

Optics · Physics 2015-07-07 Emiliano Terán-Bobadilla , Eugenio Méndez

We give a brief discussion of the recently developed Constrained-Path Monte Carlo Method. This method is a quantum Monte Carlo technique that eliminates the fermion sign problem plaguing simulations of systems of interacting electrons. The…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-10-31 J. E. Gubernatis , M. Guerrero

We propose efficient measurement procedures for the self-energy and vertex function of the Anderson impurity model within the hybridization expansion continuous-time quantum Monte Carlo algorithm. The method is based on the measurement of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2012-06-01 Hartmut Hafermann , Kelly R. Patton , Philipp Werner

We report on what seems to be an intriguing connection between variable integration time and partial velocity refreshment of Ideal Hamiltonian Monte Carlo samplers, both of which can be used for reducing the dissipative behavior of the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Qijia Jiang

We develop a new Monte Carlo method that solves hyperbolic transport equations with stiff terms, characterized by a (small) scaling parameter. In particular, we focus on systems which lead to a reduced problem of parabolic type in the limit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-01 G. Dimarco , L. Pareschi , G. Samaey

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have existed for a long time and the field is well-explored. The purpose of MCMC methods is to approximate a distribution through repeated sampling; most MCMC algorithms exhibit asymptotically optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Fareed Sheriff

Parallel tempering and population annealing are both effective methods for simulating equilibrium systems with rough free energy landscapes. Parallel tempering, also known as replica exchange Monte Carlo, is a Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-05 Jon Machta , Richard S. Ellis

We report several important observations that underscore the distinctions between the constrained-path Monte Carlo method and the continuum and lattice versions of the fixed-node method. The main distinctions stem from the differences in…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Carlson , J. E. Gubernatis , G. Ortiz , S. Zhang

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

The hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is a ubiquitous method in computational physics with applications ranging from condensed matter to lattice QCD and beyond. However, HMC simulations often suffer from long autocorrelation times,…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-05-07 Johann Ostmeyer , Pavel Buividovich

Black-box variational inference performance is sometimes hindered by the use of gradient estimators with high variance. This variance comes from two sources of randomness: Data subsampling and Monte Carlo sampling. While existing control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Xi Wang , Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

Recently, it has been shown that the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is guaranteed to converge exponentially to a given target probability distribution $p(x)\propto e^{-V(x)}$ on non-compact spaces if augmented by an appropriate radial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-28 Johann Ostmeyer

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has become routinely used for sampling from posterior distributions. Its extension Riemann manifold HMC (RMHMC) modifies the proposal kernel through distortion of local distances by a Riemannian metric. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-21 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

We propose a test for a change in the mean for a sequence of functional observations that are only partially observed on subsets of the domain, with no information available on the complement. The framework accommodates important scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Šárka Hudecová , Claudia Kirch

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho