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Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

Large ensembles of stochastically evolving interacting particles describe phenomena in diverse fields including statistical physics, neuroscience, biology, and engineering. In such systems, the infinitesimal evolution of each particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Kavita Ramanan

We introduce and develop a novel particle exchange Monte Carlo method. Whereas existing methods apply to eigenfunction problems where the eigenvalue is known (e.g., integrals with respect to a Gibbs measure, which can be interpreted as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Paul Dupuis , Benjamin J. Zhang

We investigate the mean-field limit for interacting particle systems through a duality-based framework and obtain quantitative estimates on the convergence of marginals as well as on correlation functions. In particular, for merely…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Nadia Khoury , P. -E. Jabin

A parameter estimation problem is considered, in which dispersed sensors transmit to the statistician partial information regarding their observations. The sensors observe the paths of continuous semimartingales, whose drifts are linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-01 Georgios Fellouris

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for estimating the states and time-varying parameters of nonlinear systems. We consider the case where observability of the parameters depends on the excitation of the system and may be absent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

In this paper we consider a class of interacting particle systems on dynamic random networks, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges acts as one-way feedback, i.e., edges appear and disappear over time depending on the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Simone Baldassarri , Jiesen Wang

We consider a system consisting of $n$ particles, moving forward in jumps on the real line. System state is the empirical distribution of particle locations. Each particle ``jumps forward'' at some time points, with the instantaneous rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Alexander Stolyar

We develop a class of interacting particle systems for implementing a maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) procedure to estimate the parameters of a latent variable model. We achieve this by formulating a continuous-time…

The random batch method provides an efficient algorithm for computing statistical properties of a canonical ensemble of interacting particles. In this work, we study the error estimates of the fully discrete random batch method, especially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Xuda Ye , Zhennan Zhou

Important gaps remain in our understanding of the thermodynamics and statistical physics of self-gravitating systems. Using mean field theory, here we investigate the equilibrium properties of several spherically symmetric model systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Peter J. Klinko , Bruce N. Miller

We consider the graphon mean-field system introduced in the work of Bayraktar, Chakraborty, and Wu. It is the large-population limit of a heterogeneously interacting diffusive particle system, where the interaction is of mean-field type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Erhan Bayraktar , Hongyi Zhou

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

We consider a bipartite mean-field model in which both the interaction constant and the external field take different values only depending on the groups particles belong to. We compute the exact value of the thermodynamic limit of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 Micaela Fedele , Francesco Unguendoli

We study an interacting particle system in $\mathbf{R}^d$ motivated by Stein variational gradient descent [Q. Liu and D. Wang, NIPS 2016], a deterministic algorithm for sampling from a given probability density with unknown normalization.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Jianfeng Lu , Yulong Lu , James Nolen

By making use of martingale representations, we derive the asymptotic normality of particle filters in hidden Markov models and a relatively simple formula for their asymptotic variances. Although repeated resamplings result in complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

We investigate active electrolytes within the mean-field level of description. The focus is on how the double-layer structure of passive, thermalized charges is affected by active dynamics of all constituting ions. One feature of active…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-05-23 Derek Frydel , Rudolf Podgornik

We introduce a new approach to derive mean-field limits for first- and second-order particle systems with singular interactions. It is based on a duality approach combined with the analysis of linearized dual correlations, and it allows to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Didier Bresch , Mitia Duerinckx , Pierre-Emmanuel Jabin