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Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Supervised learning with irregularly sampled time series have been a challenge to Machine Learning methods due to the obstacle of dealing with irregular time intervals. Some papers introduced recently recurrent neural network models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Rafael T. Sousa , Lucas A. Pereira , Anderson S. Soares

An important quality aspect of official statistics produced by national statistical institutes is comparability over time. To maintain uninterrupted time series, surveys conducted by national statistical institutes are often kept unchanged…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-11 Jan van den Brakel , Joeri Roels

Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is challenging when the likelihood function is irregular and expensive to compute. We explore several sampling algorithms that make use of subset evaluations to reduce computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-16 Conor Rosato , Harvinder Lehal , Simon Maskell , Lee Devlin , Malcolm Strens

Science and engineering problems subject to uncertainty are frequently both computationally expensive and feature nonsmooth parameter dependence, making standard Monte Carlo too slow, and excluding efficient use of accelerated uncertainty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Per Pettersson , Sebastian Krumscheid

Many phenomena, both natural and human-influenced, give rise to signals whose statistical properties change under time translation, i.e., are nonstationary. For some practical purposes, a nonstationary time series can be seen as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Kensuke Fukuda , H. Eugene Stanley , Luis A. Nunes Amaral

Digitalizing real-world analog signals typically involves sampling in time and discretizing in amplitude. Subsequent signal reconstructions inevitably incur an error that depends on the amplitude resolution and the temporal density of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-01 Emilio Ruiz-Moreno , Luis Miguel López-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Random Reshuffling (RR) is an algorithm for minimizing finite-sum functions that utilizes iterative gradient descent steps in conjunction with data reshuffling. Often contrasted with its sibling Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), RR is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Konstantin Mishchenko , Ahmed Khaled , Peter Richtárik

We introduce a local surrogate approach for explainable time-series forecasting. An initially non-interpretable predictive model to improve the forecast of a classical time-series 'base model' is used. 'Explainability' of the correction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Alfredo Lopez , Florian Sobieczky

Causal inference on time series data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of unobserved confounders. This work focuses on estimating the causal effect between two time series that are confounded by a third, unobserved time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Felix Schur , Jonas Peters

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithms which combine numerical approximation of Hamiltonian dynamics on finite intervals with stochastic refreshment and Metropolis correction are popular sampling schemes, but it is known that they may…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-16 Peter A. Whalley , Daniel Paulin , Benedict Leimkuhler

This paper presents a new approach to statistical similarity assessment based on sequence alignment. The algorithm performs mutual matching of two random sequences by successively searching for common elements and by applying sequence…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Jakub Nikonowicz , Łukasz Matuszewski , Paweł Kubczak

The offline time of the reduced basis method can be very long given a large training set of parameter samples. This usually happens when the system has more than two independent parameters. On the other hand, if the training set includes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Sridhar Chellappa , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

Utilizing non-concurrent control data (NCC) in the analysis of late-entering arms in platform trials has recently received considerable attention. While incorporating NCC can lead to increased power and lower sample sizes, it might…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-12 Pavla Krotka , Martin Posch , Mohamed Gewily , Günter Höglinger , Marta Bofill Roig

Human activity recognition (HAR) ideally relies on data from wearable or environment-instrumented sensors sampled at regular intervals, enabling standard neural network models optimized for consistent time-series data as input. However,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-28 Mengxi Liu , Daniel Geißler , Sizhen Bian , Bo Zhou , Paul Lukowicz

Structural Nested Mean Models (SNMMs) are useful for causal inference of treatment effects in longitudinal observational studies. Most existing works assume that the data are collected at pre-fixed time points for all subjects, which,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-13 Shu Yang

We present a discrete-time algorithm for nonuniform sampling rate conversion that presents low computational complexity and memory requirements. It generalizes arbitrary sampling rate conversion by accommodating time-varying conversion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Pablo Martínez-Nuevo

Covariate adjustment is desired by both practitioners and regulators of randomized clinical trials because it improves precision for estimating treatment effects. However, covariate adjustment presents a particular challenge in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Yunfan Li , Jessica L. Ross , Aaron M. Smith , David P. Miller

The method of constrained randomisation is applied to three-dimensional simulated galaxy distributions. With this technique we generate for a given data set surrogate data sets which have the same linear properties as the original data…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Raeth , W. Bunk , M. Huber , G. Morfill , J. Retzlaff , P. Schuecker

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) synthesizes weighted samples from an intractable distribution given its unnormalized density function. This algorithm relies on a sequence of interpolating distributions bridging the target to an initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Shirin Goshtasbpour , Victor Cohen , Fernando Perez-Cruz