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We consider a model-based approach to perform batch off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning. Our method takes a mixture-of-experts approach to combine parametric and non-parametric models of the environment such that the final value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Omer Gottesman , Yao Liu , Scott Sussex , Emma Brunskill , Finale Doshi-Velez

Purpose of this study is evaluation of the relationship between different arrival types and degree of saturation (X) with overestimations of HCM 2010 procedure for estimating the back of queue within a study area. Further analysis is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Behnoush Garshasebi , Rahim F. Benekohal

Platooning of connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) is an emerging technology with a strong potential for throughput improvement and fuel reduction. Adequate macroscopic models are critical for system-level efficiency and reliability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-29 Haoran Su , Zhengjie Ji , Karl. H. Johansson , Li Jin

A wide variety of sensor technologies are recently being adopted for traffic monitoring applications. Since most of these technologies rely on wired infrastructure, the installation and maintenance costs limit the deployment of the traffic…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Halit Bugra Tulay , Can Emre Koksal

This paper proposes a model to estimate the probability of a vehicle reaching a near-term goal state using one or multiple lane changes based on parameters corresponding to traffic conditions and driving behavior. The proposed model not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Goodarz Mehr , Azim Eskandarian

This paper presents a distributed traffic state estimation framework in which infrastructure sensors and connected vehicles act as autonomous, cooperative sensing nodes. These nodes share local traffic estimates with nearby nodes using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Vincent de Heij , M. Umar B. Niazi , Saeed Ahmed , Karl Henrik Johansson

We present simulations of congested traffic in circular and open systems with a non-local, gas-kinetic-based traffic model and a novel car-following model. The model parameters are all intuitive and can be easily calibrated. Micro- and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing , Ansgar Hennecke , Vladimir Shvetsov , Martin Treiber

The paper considers nonparametric specification tests of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Using Bahadur representation and Gaussian approximation results for nonstationary time series, simultaneous confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Zhou Zhou

The fundamental relationship of traffic flow is empirically estimated by fitting a regression curve to a cloud of observations of traffic variables. Such estimates, however, may suffer from the confounding/endogeneity bias due to omitted…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-07 Anupriya , Daniel J. Graham , Daniel Hörcher , Prateek Bansal

In this work, we address the problem of long-distance navigation for battery electric vehicles (BEVs), where one or more charging sessions are required to reach the intended destination. We consider the availability and performance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Niklas Åkerblom , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Accurate traffic demand estimation is critical for the dynamic evaluation and optimization of signalized intersections. Existing studies based on connected vehicle (CV) data are designed for a single phase only and have not sufficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Chaopeng Tan , Jiarong Yao , Xuegang , Ban , Keshuang Tang

In this note, we study Luenberger-type full-state observers for nonlinear systems using contraction theory. We show that if the matrix measure of a suitably defined Jacobian matrix constructed from the dynamics of the system-observer…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Samuel Coogan , Murat Arcak

We present a new method to obtain spatio-temporal information from aggregated data of stationary traffic detectors, the ``adaptive smoothing method''. In essential, a nonlinear spatio-temporal lowpass filter is applied to the input detector…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Martin Treiber , Dirk Helbing

With the emergence of autonomous vehicles, it is important to understand their impact on the transportation system. However, conventional traffic simulations are time-consuming. In this paper, we introduce an analytical traffic model for…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Changliu Liu , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Autonomous vehicles hold great promise in improving the future of transportation. The driving models used in these vehicles are based on neural networks, which can be difficult to validate. However, ensuring the safety of these models is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Maximilian Zipfl , Sven Spickermann , J. Marius Zöllner

Scientific analysis often relies on the ability to make accurate predictions of a system's dynamics. Mechanistic models, parameterized by a number of unknown parameters, are often used for this purpose. Accurate estimation of the model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Franz Hamilton , Alun Lloyd , Kevin Flores

We present a queuing model of parking dynamics and a model-based prediction method to provide real-time probabilistic forecasts of future parking occupancy. The queuing model has a non-homogeneous arrival rate and time-varying service time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Hamidreza Tavafoghi , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

The pervasive use of prevalent cohort studies on disease duration, increasingly calls for appropriate methodologies to account for the biases that invariably accompany samples formed by such data. It is well-known, for example, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David Stephens