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This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

We study a random sampling technique to approximate integrals $\int_{[0,1]^s}f(\mathbf{x})\,\mathrm{d}\mathbf{x}$ by averaging the function at some sampling points. We focus on cases where the integrand is smooth, which is a problem which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-21 Josef Dick

This paper proposes a new family of lower and upper bounds on the minimum mean squared error (MMSE). The key idea is to minimize/maximize the MMSE subject to the constraint that the joint distribution of the input-output statistics lies in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Michael Fauß , Alex Dysto , H. Vincent Poor

We study a problem of estimation of smooth functionals of parameter $\theta $ of Gaussian shift model $$ X=\theta +\xi,\ \theta \in E, $$ where $E$ is a separable Banach space and $X$ is an observation of unknown vector $\theta$ in Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Mayya Zhilova

Optimal estimation and inference for both the minimizer and minimum of a convex regression function under the white noise and nonparametric regression models are studied in a nonasymptotic local minimax framework, where the performance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 T. Tony Cai , Ran Chen , Yuancheng Zhu

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , David A. Levin , Yuval Peres , Csaba Szepesvári

We determine the optimal performance of learning the orientation of the symmetry axis of a set of P = alpha N points that are uniformly distributed in all the directions but one on the N-dimensional sphere. The components along the symmetry…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 Arnaud Buhot , Mirta B. Gordon

We propose a general methodology for the construction and analysis of minimax estimators for a wide class of functionals of finite dimensional parameters, and elaborate on the case of discrete distributions, where the alphabet size $S$ is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of a Poisson process $N$ by using thresholding rules. In this paper, the intensity, defined as the derivative of the mean measure of $N$ with respect to $ndx$ where $n$ is a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-22 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

We consider the problem of sequential (online) estimation of a single change point in a piecewise linear regression model under a Gaussian setup. We demonstrate that certain CUSUM-type statistics attain the minimax optimal rates for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Annika Hüselitz , Housen Li , Axel Munk

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

In this work, we show that for all statistical estimation problems, a natural MMSE instability (discontinuity) condition implies the failure of stable algorithms, serving as a version of OGP for estimation tasks. Using this criterion, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Xifan Yu , Ilias Zadik

We study non-parametric frequency-domain system identification from a finite-sample perspective. We assume an open loop scenario where the excitation input is periodic and consider the Empirical Transfer Function Estimate (ETFE), where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-06 Anastasios Tsiamis , Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Roy S. Smith , John Lygeros

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Two maximum likelihood-based algorithms for unfolding or deconvolution are considered: the Richardson-Lucy method and the Data Unfolding method with Mean Integrated Square Error (MISE) optimization [10]. Unfolding is viewed as a procedure…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-18 Nikolay D. Gagunashvili

This paper studies the problem of nonparametric estimation of a smooth function with data distributed across multiple machines. We assume an independent sample from a white noise model is collected at each machine, and an estimator of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for a linear functional of a regression function, such as its value at a point, the regression discontinuity parameter, or a regression coefficient in a linear or partly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Given an arbitrary subgraph $H=H_n$ and $p=p_n \in (0,1)$, the planted subgraph model is defined as follows. A statistician observes the union a random copy $H^*$ of $H$, together with random noise in the form of an instance of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Daniel Lee , Francisco Pernice , Amit Rajaraman , Ilias Zadik

Estimation of convex functions finds broad applications in engineering and science, while convex shape constraint gives rise to numerous challenges in asymptotic performance analysis. This paper is devoted to minimax optimal estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Teresa M. Lebair , Jinglai Shen , Xiao Wang

We consider estimation of a functional parameter of a realistically modeled data distribution based on observing independent and identically distributed observations. We define an $m$-th order Spline Highly Adaptive Lasso Minimum Loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-05 Mark J. van der Laan , David Benkeser , Weixin Cai