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Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

The doubly-robust (DR) estimator is popular for evaluating causal effects in observational studies and is often perceived as more desirable than inverse probability weighting (IPW) or outcome modeling alone because it provides extra…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Chengxin Yang , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

A key task in actuarial modelling involves modelling the distributional properties of losses. Classic (distributional) regression approaches like Generalized Linear Models (GLMs; Nelder and Wedderburn, 1972) are commonly used, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Benjamin Avanzi , Eric Dong , Patrick J. Laub , Bernard Wong

Density-based minimum divergence procedures represent popular techniques in parametric statistical inference. They combine strong robustness properties with high (sometimes full) asymptotic efficiency. Among density-based minimum distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Pushpinder Singh , Abhijit Mandal , Ayanendranath Basu

Most popular dimension reduction (DR) methods like t-SNE and UMAP are based on minimizing a cost between input and latent pairwise similarities. Though widely used, these approaches lack clear probabilistic foundations to enable a full…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Hugues Van Assel , Thibault Espinasse , Julien Chiquet , Franck Picard

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast algorithm for nonparametric estimation of a mixing density, with connections to sequential Bayesian updating under a Dirichlet process prior and rigorous frequentist consistency guarantees. Extending PR…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jonathan Lin , Surya Tokdar

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

We study the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the multivariate deviated model where the data are generated from the density function $(1-\lambda^{\ast})h_{0}(x)+\lambda^{\ast}f(x|\mu^{\ast}, \Sigma^{\ast})$ in which $h_{0}$ is a known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Dat Do , Huy Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

Regression aims at estimating the conditional mean of output given input. However, regression is not informative enough if the conditional density is multimodal, heteroscedastic, and asymmetric. In such a case, estimating the conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Voot Tangkaratt , Ning Xie , Masashi Sugiyama

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

f-divergence estimation is an important problem in the fields of information theory, machine learning, and statistics. While several divergence estimators exist, relatively few of their convergence rates are known. We derive the MSE…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-16 Kevin R. Moon , Alfred O. Hero

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a powerful framework for training robust models against data distribution shifts. This paper focuses on constrained DRO, which has an explicit characterization of the robustness level. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Qi Zhang , Yi Zhou , Ashley Prater-Bennette , Lixin Shen , Shaofeng Zou

The challenge in fine-grained visual categorization lies in how to explore the subtle differences between different subclasses and achieve accurate discrimination. Previous research has relied on large-scale annotated data and pre-trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Tianxu Wu , Shuo Ye , Shuhuang Chen , Qinmu Peng , Xinge You

Binary optimization, a representative subclass of discrete optimization, plays an important role in mathematical optimization and has various applications in computer vision and machine learning. Usually, binary optimization problems are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Huan Xiong , Mengyang Yu , Li Liu , Fan Zhu , Fumin Shen , Ling Shao

The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Fernández-Durán , J. J. , Gregorio-Domínguez , M. M

Simultaneously performing variable selection and inference in high-dimensional models is an open challenge in statistics and machine learning. The increasing availability of vast amounts of variables requires the adoption of specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Marco Molinari , Magne Thoresen

We propose a new marginal data density estimator (MDDE) that uses the variational Bayes posterior density as a weighting density of the reciprocal importance sampling (RIS) MDDE. This computationally convenient estimator is based on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-12 Gholamreza Hajargasht , Tomasz Woźniak

Reliable density estimation is fundamental for numerous applications in statistics and machine learning. In many practical scenarios, data are best modeled as mixtures of component densities that capture complex and multimodal patterns.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Mustafa Musab , Joseph K. Chege , Arie Yeredor , Martin Haardt

Density Ratio Estimation has attracted attention from the machine learning community due to its ability to compare the underlying distributions of two datasets. However, in some applications, we want to compare distributions of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Song Liu , Yulong Zhang , Mingxuan Yi , Mladen Kolar

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jiaqi Wen , Jianyi Yang
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