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Exploratory analysis of time series data can yield a better understanding of complex dynamical systems. Granger causality is a practical framework for analysing interactions in sequential data, applied in a wide range of domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

Causality in time series can be challenging to determine, especially in the presence of non-linear dependencies. Granger causality helps analyze potential relationships between variables, thereby offering a method to determine whether one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Harsh Poonia , Felix Divo , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

In the field of road safety, it is common to use responsibility analyses to assess the effect of a given factor on the risk of being responsible for an accident, among drivers involved in an accident only. Even if this design is now widely…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-16 Marine Dufournet , Emilie Lanoy , Jean-Louis Martin , Vivian Viallon

Traffic accidents are one of the biggest challenges in a society where commuting is so important. What triggers an accident can be dependent on several subjective parameters and varies within each region, city, or country. In the same way,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Vinicius Lima , Vetria Byrd

The problem of estimating high-dimensional network models arises naturally in the analysis of many physical, biological and socio-economic systems. Examples include stock price fluctuations in financial markets and gene regulatory networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-09 Sumanta Basu , Ali Shojaie , George Michailidis

Discovering cause-effect from observational data is an important but challenging problem in science and engineering. In this work, a recently proposed brain inspired learning algorithm namely-\emph{Neurochaos Learning} (NL) is used for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Harikrishnan N B , Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

Causal inference is a critical task across fields such as healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. While recent advances in machine learning, especially those based on the deep-learning architectures, have shown potential in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Manqing Liu , David R. Bellamy , Andrew L. Beam

Granger Causality (GC) offers an elegant statistical framework to study the association between multivariate time series data. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are simple and easy to fit, but have limited application because of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao , Maurizio Filippone

Macroscopic traffic safety modeling aims to identify critical risk factors for regional crashes, thereby informing targeted policy interventions for safety improvement. However, current approaches rely heavily on static sociodemographic and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Lishan Sun , Yujia Cheng , Pengfei Cui , Lei Han , Mohamed Abdel-Aty , Yunhan Zheng , Xingchen Zhang

Road traffic injury accounts for a substantial human and economic burden globally. Understanding risk factors contributing to fatal injuries is of paramount importance. In this study, we proposed a model that adopts a hybrid ensemble…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ali J. Ghandour , Huda Hammoud , Samar Al-Hajj

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

A novel approach is developed for discovering directed connectivity between specified pairs of nodes in a high-dimensional network (HDN) of brain signals. To accurately identify causal connectivity for such specified objectives, it is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-06 Sipan Aslan , Hernando Ombao

Granger causality is a commonly used method for uncovering information flow and dependencies in a time series. Here we introduce JGC (Jacobian Granger Causality), a neural network-based approach to Granger causality using the Jacobian as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Suryadi , Yew-Soon Ong , Lock Yue Chew

Causal discovery in time-series is a fundamental problem in the machine learning community, enabling causal reasoning and decision-making in complex scenarios. Recently, researchers successfully discover causality by combining neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Yuxiao Cheng , Lianglong Li , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Understanding the causal interaction of time series variables can contribute to time series data analysis for many real-world applications, such as climate forecasting and extreme weather alerts. However, causal relationships are difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Dongqi Fu , Yada Zhu , Hanghang Tong , Kommy Weldemariam , Onkar Bhardwaj , Jingrui He

Since the advent of autonomous driving technology, it has experienced remarkable progress over the last decade. However, most existing research still struggles to address the challenges posed by environments where multiple vehicles have to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Jing Wang , Yan Jin , Fei Ding , Chongfeng Wei

We present an approach to estimate the severity of traffic related accidents in aggregated (area-level) and disaggregated (point level) data. Exploring spatial features, we measure complexity of road networks using several area level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Devashish Khulbe , Soumya Sourav

Crash data is often greatly imbalanced, with the majority of crashes being non-fatal crashes, and only a small number being fatal crashes due to their rarity. Such data imbalance issue poses a challenge for crash severity modeling since it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Junlan Chen , Ziyuan Pu , Nan Zheng , Xiao Wen , Hongliang Ding , Xiucheng Guo

Granger causal modeling is an emerging topic that can uncover Granger causal relationship behind multivariate time series data. In many real-world systems, it is common to encounter a large amount of multivariate time series data collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Yunfei Chu , Xiaowei Wang , Jianxin Ma , Kunyang Jia , Jingren Zhou , Hongxia Yang

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been developed to model the relationship between regions of interest (ROIs) in brains and have shown significant improvement in detecting brain diseases. However, most of these frameworks do not consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Falih Gozi Febrinanto , Adonia Simango , Chengpei Xu , Jingjing Zhou , Jiangang Ma , Sonika Tyagi , Feng Xia