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The concept of Probability of Causation (PC) is critically important in legal contexts and can help in many other domains. While it has been around since 1986, current operationalizations can obtain only the minimum and maximum values of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Tapajit Dey , Audris Mockus

In this work, we investigate the online learning problem of revenue maximization in ad auctions, where the seller needs to learn the click-through rates (CTRs) of each ad candidate and charge the price of the winner through a pay-per-click…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zhe Feng , Christopher Liaw , Zixin Zhou

Extracting query-document relevance from the sparse, biased clickthrough log is among the most fundamental tasks in the web search system. Prior art mainly learns a relevance judgment model with semantic features of the query and document…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Lixin Zou , Changying Hao , Hengyi Cai , Suqi Cheng , Shuaiqiang Wang , Wenwen Ye , Zhicong Cheng , Simiu Gu , Dawei Yin

Most typical click models assume that the probability of a document to be examined by users only depends on position, such as PBM and UBM. It works well in various kinds of search engines. However, in a search engine where massive candidate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Ningxin Xu , Cheng Yang , Yixin Zhu , Xiaowei Hu , Changhu Wang

Many platforms, such as e-commerce websites, offer both search and recommendation services simultaneously to better meet users' diverse needs. Recommendation services suggest items based on user preferences, while search services allow…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Yuening Wang , Man Chen , Yaochen Hu , Wei Guo , Yingxue Zhang , Huifeng Guo , Yong Liu , Mark Coates

The social biases and unwelcome stereotypes revealed by pretrained language models are becoming obstacles to their application. Compared to numerous debiasing methods targeting word level, there has been relatively less attention on biases…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Bingkang Shi , Xiaodan Zhang , Dehan Kong , Yulei Wu , Zongzhen Liu , Honglei Lyu , Longtao Huang

Forecasting conversational derailment is the task of predicting, as the conversation unfolds, whether it will eventually derail into personal attacks. Since forecasting models operate in an online fashion, they must decide whether to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Laerdon Kim , Vivian Nguyen , Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil

This paper focuses on detecting clickbait posts on the Web. These posts often use eye-catching disinformation in mixed modalities to mislead users to click for profit. That affects the user experience and thus would be blocked by content…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Jianxing Yu , Shiqi Wang , Han Yin , Zhenlong Sun , Ruobing Xie , Bo Zhang , Yanghui Rao

In this paper, we study multiple problems from sponsored product optimization in ad system, including position-based de-biasing, click-conversion multi-task learning, and calibration on predicted click-through-rate (pCTR). We propose a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Yanbing Xue , Bo Liu , Weizhi Du , Jayanth Korlimarla , Musen Men

For industrial-scale advertising systems, prediction of ad click-through rate (CTR) is a central problem. Ad clicks constitute a significant class of user engagements and are often used as the primary signal for the usefulness of ads to…

This paper investigates the efficiency of the K-fold cross-validation (CV) procedure and a debiased version thereof as a means of estimating the generalization risk of a learning algorithm. We work under the general assumption of uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Anass Aghbalou , François Portier , Anne Sabourin

In the Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction scenario, user's sequential behaviors are well utilized to capture the user interest in the recent literature. However, despite being extensively studied, these sequential methods still suffer from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Kai Zhang , Hao Qian , Qing Cui , Qi Liu , Longfei Li , Jun Zhou , Jianhui Ma , Enhong Chen

Learning to rank systems has become an important aspect of our daily life. However, the implicit user feedback that is used to train many learning to rank models is usually noisy and suffered from user bias (i.e., position bias). Thus,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Anh Tran , Tao Yang , Qingyao Ai

Several different uncertain inference systems (UISs) have been developed for representing uncertainty in rule-based expert systems. Some of these, such as Mycin's Certainty Factors, Prospector, and Bayes' Networks were designed as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ben P. Wise , Max Henrion

Estimating click-through rate (CTR) accurately has an essential impact on improving user experience and revenue in sponsored search. For CTR prediction model, it is necessary to make out user real-time search intention. Most of the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Feng Li , Zhenrui Chen , Pengjie Wang , Yi Ren , Di Zhang , Xiaoyu Zhu

Generating effective query suggestions in conversational search requires aligning model outputs with user preferences, which is challenging due to sparse and noisy click signals. We propose GQS, a generative framework that integrates click…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Erxue Min , Hsiu-Yuan Huang , Xihong Yang , Min Yang , Xin Jia , Yunfang Wu , Hengyi Cai , Junfeng Wang , Shuaiqiang Wang , Dawei Yin

Existing advertisements click-through rate (CTR) prediction models are mainly dependent on behavior ID features, which are learned based on the historical user-ad interactions. Nevertheless, behavior ID features relying on historical user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Tan Yu , Zhipeng Jin , Jie Liu , Yi Yang , Hongliang Fei , Ping Li

Fairness is a popular research topic in recent years. A research topic closely related to fairness is bias and debiasing. Among different types of bias problems, position bias is one of the most widely encountered symptoms. Position bias…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Hao Wang

We present a universal framework for constructing confidence sets based on sequential likelihood mixing. Building upon classical results from sequential analysis, we provide a unifying perspective on several recent lines of work, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Johannes Kirschner , Andreas Krause , Michele Meziu , Mojmir Mutny

We present a unified framework for Batch Online Learning (OL) for Click Prediction in Search Advertisement. Machine Learning models once deployed, show non-trivial accuracy and calibration degradation over time due to model staleness. It is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Rishabh Iyer , Nimit Acharya , Tanuja Bompada , Denis Charles , Eren Manavoglu
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