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We investigate the utility to computational Bayesian analyses of a particular family of recursive marginal likelihood estimators characterized by the (equivalent) algorithms known as "biased sampling" or "reverse logistic regression" in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Ewan Cameron , Anthony Pettitt

We propose a penalized likelihood method to fit the bivariate categorical response regression model. Our method allows practitioners to estimate which predictors are irrelevant, which predictors only affect the marginal distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

Biased sampling designs can be highly efficient when studying rare (binary) or low variability (continuous) endpoints. We consider longitudinal data settings in which the probability of being sampled depends on a repeatedly measured…

The logit transform is arguably the most widely-employed link function beyond linear settings. This transformation routinely appears in regression models for binary data and provides a central building-block in popular methods for both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Niccolò Anceschi , Cristian Castiglione , Tommaso Rigon , Giacomo Zanella , Daniele Durante

We introduce a novel bias-variance decomposition for a range of strictly convex margin losses, including the logistic loss (minimized by the classic LogitBoost algorithm), as well as the squared margin loss and canonical boosting loss.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-27 Danny Wood , Tingting Mu , Gavin Brown

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

AIMS. The maximum-likelihood method is the standard approach to obtain model fits to observational data and the corresponding confidence regions. We investigate possible sources of bias in the log-likelihood function and its subsequent…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. Hartlap , P. Simon , P. Schneider

In many fields of science, generalized likelihood ratio tests are established tools for statistical inference. At the same time, it has become increasingly common that a simulator (or generative model) is used to describe complex processes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-21 Kyle Cranmer , Juan Pavez , Gilles Louppe

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

Most data sets comprise of measurements on continuous and categorical variables. In regression and classification Statistics literature, modeling high-dimensional mixed predictors has received limited attention. In this paper we study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Efstathia Bura , Liliana Forzani , Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Diego Tomassi

Log-symmetric regression models are particularly useful when the response variable is continuous, strictly positive and asymmetric. In this paper, we proposed a class of log-symmetric regression models in the context of correlated errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Calculation of the log-normalizer is a major computational obstacle in applications of log-linear models with large output spaces. The problem of fast normalizer computation has therefore attracted significant attention in the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-19 Jacob Andreas , Maxim Rabinovich , Dan Klein , Michael I. Jordan

Least-squares fits are an important tool in many data analysis applications. In this paper, we review theoretical results, which are relevant for their application to data from counting experiments. Using a simple example, we illustrate the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-07 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling , Roland Waldi

In this paper, we theoretically justify an approach popular among participants of the Higgs Boson Machine Learning Challenge to optimize approximate median significance (AMS). The approach is based on the following two-stage procedure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-08 Wojciech Kotłowski

Ordinal data are quite common in applied statistics. Although some model selection and regularization techniques for categorical predictors and ordinal response models have been developed over the past few years, less work has been done…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aisouda Hoshiyar , Laura H. Gertheiss , Jan Gertheiss

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

A method is introduced for approximate marginal likelihood inference via adaptive Gaussian quadrature in mixed models with a single grouping factor. The core technical contribution is an algorithm for computing the exact gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Alex Stringer