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Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej , Elena Zheleva , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

Temporal reasoning is the task of predicting temporal relations of event pairs. While temporal reasoning models can perform reasonably well on in-domain benchmarks, we have little idea of these systems' generalizability due to existing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Yu Feng , Ben Zhou , Haoyu Wang , Helen Jin , Dan Roth

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Vessel trajectory prediction is a critical component for ensuring maritime traffic safety and avoiding collisions. Due to the inherent uncertainty in vessel behavior, trajectory prediction systems must adopt a multimodal approach to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jin Wenzhe , Tang Haina , Zhang Xudong

Intelligent Traffic Monitoring (ITMo) technologies hold the potential for improving road safety/security and for enabling smart city infrastructure. Understanding traffic situations requires a complex fusion of perceptual information with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jiarui Zhang , Filip Ilievski , Kaixin Ma , Aravinda Kollaa , Jonathan Francis , Alessandro Oltramari

Causal discovery with time series data remains a challenging yet increasingly important task across many scientific domains. Convergent cross mapping (CCM) and related methods have been proposed to study time series that are generated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Kurt Butler , Daniel Waxman , Petar M. Djurić

Trajectory prediction of aerial vehicles is a key requirement in applications ranging from missile guidance to UAV collision avoidance. While most prediction methods assume deterministic target motion, real-world targets often exhibit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Marc Schneider , Renato Loureiro , Torbjørn Cunis , Walter Fichter

Accurate long series forecasting of traffic information is critical for the development of intelligent traffic systems. We may benefit from the rapid growth of neural network analysis technology to better understand the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Ruikang Luo , Yaofeng Song , Liping Huang , Yicheng Zhang , Rong Su

Traffic speed prediction is significant for intelligent navigation and congestion alleviation. However, making accurate predictions is challenging due to three factors: 1) traffic diffusion, i.e., the spatial and temporal causality existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Yi Rong , Yingchi Mao , Yinqiu Liu , Ling Chen , Xiaoming He , Dusit Niyato

Performing driving behaviors based on causal reasoning is essential to ensure driving safety. In this work, we investigated how state-of-the-art 3D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) perform on classifying driving behaviors based on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Yi-Chieh Liu , Yung-An Hsieh , Min-Hung Chen , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Jesper Tegner , Yi-Chang James Tsai

Motion forecasting in highly interactive scenarios is a challenging problem in autonomous driving. In such scenarios, we need to accurately predict the joint behavior of interacting agents to ensure the safe and efficient navigation of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Lingfeng Sun , Chen Tang , Yaru Niu , Enna Sachdeva , Chiho Choi , Teruhisa Misu , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

We propose a general way to integrate procedural knowledge of a domain into deep learning models. We apply it to the case of video prediction, building on top of object-centric deep models and show that this leads to a better performance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Patrick Takenaka , Johannes Maucher , Marco F. Huber

Driver gaze has been shown to be an excellent surrogate for driver attention in intelligent vehicles. With the recent surge of highly autonomous vehicles, driver gaze can be useful for determining the handoff time to a human driver. While…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Sourabh Vora , Akshay Rangesh , Mohan M. Trivedi

Large-scale human mobility exhibits spatial and temporal patterns that can assist policymakers in decision making. Although traditional prediction models attempt to capture these patterns, they often interfered by non-periodic public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Xiaojie Yang , Hangli Ge , Jiawei Wang , Zipei Fan , Renhe Jiang , Ryosuke Shibasaki , Noboru Koshizuka

In the event of sensor failure, autonomous vehicles need to safely execute emergency maneuvers while avoiding other vehicles on the road. To accomplish this, the sensor-failed vehicle must predict the future semantic behaviors of other…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Sajan Patel , Brent Griffin , Kristofer Kusano , Jason J. Corso

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

Causal discovery from time series data encompasses many existing solutions, including those based on deep learning techniques. However, these methods typically do not endorse one of the most prevalent paradigms in deep learning: End-to-end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Gideon Stein , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Domain adaption has been widely adapted for cross-domain sentiment analysis to transfer knowledge from the source domain to the target domain. Whereas, most methods are proposed under the assumption that the target (test) domain is known,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Siyin Wang , Jie Zhou , Qin Chen , Qi Zhang , Tao Gui , Xuanjing Huang

Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads using data sampled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Avinash Achar , Venkatesh Sarangan , R Rohith , Anand Sivasubramaniam
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