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A benefit of randomized experiments is that covariate distributions of treatment and control groups are balanced on average, resulting in simple unbiased estimators for treatment effects. However, it is possible that a particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Zach Branson , Luke Miratrix

Over the years, several studies have demonstrated that there exist significant disparities in health indicators in the United States population across various groups. Healthcare expense is used as a proxy for health in algorithms that drive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Moninder Singh , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy

In this work, we characterize the doctor-patient relationship using a machine learning-derived trust score. We show that this score has statistically significant racial associations, and that by modeling trust directly we find stronger…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Willie Boag , Harini Suresh , Leo Anthony Celi , Peter Szolovits , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Actuarial risk assessments might be unduly perceived as a neutral way to counteract implicit bias and increase the fairness of decisions made at almost every juncture of the criminal justice system, from pretrial release to sentencing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Chelsea Barabas , Karthik Dinakar , Joichi Ito , Madars Virza , Jonathan Zittrain

Governments are increasingly turning to algorithmic risk assessments when making important decisions, such as whether to release criminal defendants before trial. Policymakers assert that providing public servants with algorithmic advice…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Ben Green , Yiling Chen

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

There are concerns about the fairness of clinical prediction models. 'Fair' models are defined as those for which their performance or predictions are not inappropriately influenced by protected attributes such as ethnicity, gender, or…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Jose Benitez-Aurioles , Alice Joules , Irene Brusini , Niels Peek , Matthew Sperrin

The focus of this paper is on quantifying the capacity of covariates in devising efficient treatment rules when data from a randomized trial are available. Conventional one-variable-at-a-time subgroup analysis based on statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-04 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Mohammad Mansournia , Paul Gustafson

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

While the gold standard for clinical trials is to blind all parties -- participants, researchers, and evaluators -- to treatment assignment, this is not always a possibility. When some or all of the above individuals know the treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 E. J. Greene , P. Peduzzi , J. Dziura , C. Meng , M. E. Miller , T. G. Travison , D. Esserman

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently issued guidance that emphasizes the importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Kelly Van Lancker , Frank Bretz , Oliver Dukes

The amount of data collected from patients involved in clinical trials is continuously growing. All patient characteristics are potential covariates that could be used to improve clinical trial analysis and power. However, the restricted…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-29 Samuel Branders , Alvaro Pereira , Guillaume Bernard , Marie Ernst , Adelin Albert

A key aspect of patient-focused drug development is identifying and measuring outcomes that are important to patients in clinical trials. Many medical conditions affect multiple symptom domains, and a consensus approach to determine the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 David S. Robertson , Thomas Jaki

Machine learning models are often trained to predict the outcome resulting from a human decision. For example, if a doctor decides to test a patient for disease, will the patient test positive? A challenge is that historical decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Sidhika Balachandar , Nikhil Garg , Emma Pierson

Multivariate methods that relate outcomes to risk factors have been adopted clinically to individualize treatment. This has promoted the belief that individuals have a true or unique risk. The logic of assigning an individual a single risk…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-15 Ralph H. Stern

In studies of discrimination, researchers often seek to estimate a causal effect of race or gender on outcomes. For example, in the criminal justice context, one might ask whether arrested individuals would have been subsequently charged or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Johann Gaebler , William Cai , Guillaume Basse , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel , Jennifer Hill

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Recent work on algorithmic fairness has largely focused on the fairness of discrete decisions, or classifications. While such decisions are often based on risk score models, the fairness of the risk models themselves has received…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Eike Petersen , Melanie Ganz , Sune Hannibal Holm , Aasa Feragen

Rationing of healthcare resources has emerged as an important issue, which has been discussed by medical experts, policy-makers, and the general public. We consider a rationing problem where medical units are to be allocated to patients.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Haris Aziz , Florian Brandl

A data science task can be deemed as making sense of the data or testing a hypothesis about it. The conclusions inferred from data can greatly guide us to make informative decisions. Big data has enabled us to carry out countless prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim