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This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

This paper offers a new approach to modeling and forecasting of nonstationary time series with applications to volatility modeling for financial data. The approach is based on the assumption of local homogeneity: for every time point, there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Vladimir Spokoiny

We develop a robust Bayesian functional principal component analysis (RB-FPCA) method that utilizes the skew elliptical class of distributions to model functional data, which are observed over a continuous domain. This approach effectively…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jiarui Zhang , Jiguo Cao , Liangliang Wang

We investigate the significance of change-points within fully nonparametric regression contexts, with a particular focus on panel data where data generation processes vary across units, and error terms may display complex dependency…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Likai Chen , Georg Keilbar , Liangjun Su , Weining Wang

In this paper, I propose a general algorithm for multiple change point analysis via multivariate distribution-free nonparametric testing based on the concept of ranks that are defined by measure transportation. Multivariate ranks and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Amanda Ng

This article introduces new methods for the analysis of cyclostationary time series with infinite variance. Traditional cyclostationary analysis, based on periodically correlated (PC) processes, relies on the autocovariance function (ACVF).…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

A wavelet-based changepoint method is proposed that determines when the variability of the noise in a sequence of functional profiles goes out-of-control from a known, fixed value. The functional portion of the profiles are allowed to come…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-20 Vladimir J. Geneus , Eric Chicken , Jordan Cuevas , Joseph J. Pignatiello

Traditional methods for inference in change point detection often rely on a large number of observed data points and can be inaccurate in non-asymptotic settings. With the rise of mobile health and digital phenotyping studies, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Ian Barnett

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of multivariate or non-Euclidean observations. We study a nonparametric framework that utilizes similarity information…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Detecting brief changes in time-series data remains a major challenge in fields where short-lived states carry meaning. In single-molecule localisation microscopy, this problem is particularly acute as fluorescent molecules used to tag…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Emily Gribbin , Benjamin Davis , Daniel Rolfe , Hannah Mitchell

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

Multiple comparisons in hypothesis testing often encounter structural constraints in various applications. For instance, in structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Alzheimer's Disease, the focus extends beyond examining atrophic brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Yang Cao , Xinwei Sun , Yuan Yao

Controlling false discovery rate (FDR) is crucial for variable selection, multiple testing, among other signal detection problems. In literature, there is certainly no shortage of FDR control strategies when selecting individual features,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Jingyuan Liu , Ao Sun , Yuan Ke

Revealing hidden dynamics from the stochastic data is a challenging problem as randomness takes part in the evolution of the data. The problem becomes exceedingly complex when the trajectories of the stochastic data are absent in many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Liwei Lu , Zhijun Zeng , Yan Jiang , Yi Zhu , Pipi Hu

We consider detecting the evolutionary oscillatory pattern of a signal when it is contaminated by non-stationary noises with complexly time-varying data generating mechanism. A high-dimensional dense progressive periodogram test is proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Hau-Tieng Wu , Zhou Zhou

Microbial communities analysis is drawing growing attention due to the rapid development of high-throughput sequencing techniques nowadays. The observed data has the following typical characteristics: it is high-dimensional, compositional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Yong He , Pengfei Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Wang Zhou

Robust change-point detection for large-scale data streams has many real-world applications in industrial quality control, signal detection, biosurveillance. Unfortunately, it is highly non-trivial to develop efficient schemes due to three…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Ruizhi Zhang , Yajun Mei , Jianjun Shi
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