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Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a method for solving numerical integration problems in a Bayesian manner, which allows users to quantify their uncertainty about the solution. The standard approach to BQ is based on a Gaussian process (GP)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Harrison Zhu , Xing Liu , Ruya Kang , Zhichao Shen , Seth Flaxman , François-Xavier Briol

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-01 Xiaoyue Xi , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Bayesian quadrature is a probabilistic, model-based approach to numerical integration, the estimation of intractable integrals, or expectations. Although Bayesian quadrature was popularised already in the 1980s, no systematic and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Maren Mahsereci , Toni Karvonen

Adaptive Bayesian quadrature (ABQ) is a powerful approach to numerical integration that empirically compares favorably with Monte Carlo integration on problems of medium dimensionality (where non-adaptive quadrature is not competitive). Its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Motonobu Kanagawa , Philipp Hennig

Calculation of Bayesian posteriors and model evidences typically requires numerical integration. Bayesian quadrature (BQ), a surrogate-model-based approach to numerical integration, is capable of superb sample efficiency, but its lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Masaki Adachi , Satoshi Hayakawa , Martin Jørgensen , Harald Oberhauser , Michael A. Osborne

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a sample-efficient probabilistic numerical method to solve integrals of expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, yet so far,active BQ learning schemes focus merely on the integrand itself as information source,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Alexandra Gessner , Javier Gonzalez , Maren Mahsereci

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

Estimating posteriors and the associated model evidences, with desired accuracy and affordable computational cost, is a core issue of Bayesian model updating, and can be of great challenge given expensive-to-evaluate models and posteriors…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-09 Jingwen Song , Pengfei Wei

We present a novel technique for tailoring Bayesian quadrature (BQ) to model selection. The state-of-the-art for comparing the evidence of multiple models relies on Monte Carlo methods, which converge slowly and are unreliable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Henry Chai , Jean-Francois Ton , Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne

Integration over non-negative integrands is a central problem in machine learning (e.g. for model averaging, (hyper-)parameter marginalisation, and computing posterior predictive distributions). Bayesian Quadrature is a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Ed Wagstaff , Saad Hamid , Michael Osborne

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model --- are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

We propose a novel approach for estimating conditional or parametric expectations in the setting where obtaining samples or evaluating integrands is costly. Through the framework of probabilistic numerical methods (such as Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Zonghao Chen , Masha Naslidnyk , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol

Riemannian manifolds provide a principled way to model nonlinear geometric structure inherent in data. A Riemannian metric on said manifolds determines geometry-aware shortest paths and provides the means to define statistical models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Christian Fröhlich , Alexandra Gessner , Philipp Hennig , Bernhard Schölkopf , Georgios Arvanitidis

This paper focusses on the formulation of numerical integration as an inferential task. To date, research effort has largely focussed on the development of Bayesian cubature, whose distributional output provides uncertainty quantification…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

We present an improved Bayesian framework for performing inference of affine transformations of constrained functions. We focus on quadrature with nonnegative functions, a common task in Bayesian inference. We consider constraints on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Henry Chai , Roman Garnett

Quantum computers currently rely on a hybrid quantum-classical approach known as Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs) to solve problems. Still, there are several challenges with VQAs on the classical computing side: it corresponds to a…

Bayesian cubature (BC) is a popular inferential perspective on the cubature of expensive integrands, wherein the integrand is emulated using a stochastic process model. Several approaches have been put forward to encode sequential…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-09 Matthew A Fisher , Chris J Oates , Catherine Powell , Aretha Teckentrup

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

This paper proposes a novel matrix quantization method, Binary Quadratic Quantization (BQQ). In contrast to conventional first-order quantization approaches, such as uniform quantization and binary coding quantization, that approximate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Kyo Kuroki , Yasuyuki Okoshi , Thiem Van Chu , Kazushi Kawamura , Masato Motomura

Bayesian quantum estimation provides a robust framework for quantum technologies, especially in scenarios with limited data and minimal prior information. Yet, its application to continuous-variable Gaussian systems has remained limited and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Edward Gandar , Jesús Rubio
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