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We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

One of the major challenges in neuroscience is to determine how noise that is present at the molecular and cellular levels affects dynamics and information processing at the macroscopic level of synaptically coupled neuronal populations.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-06-12 Paul C. Bressloff , Jay M. Newby

We investigate the dynamics of the majority-rule opinion formation model when voters experience differential latencies. With this extension, voters that just adopted an opinion go into a latent state during which they are excluded from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 Alexander Scheidler

We address the issue of the reducibility of the dynamics on a multilayer network to an equivalent process on an aggregated single-layer network. As a typical example of models for opinion formation in social networks, we implement the voter…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-08 Marina Diakonova , Vincenzo Nicosia , Vito Latora , Maxi San Miguel

In this paper, a general framework is formalised to characterise the value of information (VoI) in hidden Markov models. Specifically, the VoI is defined as the mutual information between the current, unobserved status at the source and a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Zijing Wang , Mihai-Alin Badiu , Justin P. Coon

In this paper, the consensus problems of the continuous-time integrator systems under noisy measurements are considered. The measurement noises, which appear when agents measure their neighbors' states, are modeled to be multiplicative. By…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li

We introduce a non-linear variant of the voter model, the q-voter model, in which q neighbors (with possible repetition) are consulted for a voter to change opinion. If the q neighbors agree, the voter takes their opinion; if they do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-27 C. Castellano , M. A. Munoz , R. Pastor-Satorras

We investigate the coarsening dynamics of a simplified version of the persistent voter model in which an agent can become a zealot -- i.e. resistent to change opinion -- at each step, based on interactions with its nearest neighbors. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-17 R. G. de Almeida , J. J. Arenzon , F. Corberi , W. G. Dantas , L. Smaldone

This paper introduces a new model of continuous opinion dynamics with random noise. The model belongs to the broad class of so called bounded confidence models. It differs from other popular bounded confidence models by the update rule,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-06-02 P. Nyczka

We study three Markov processes on infinite, unrooted, regular trees: the stochastic Ising model (also known as the Glauber heat bath dynamics of the Ising model), a majority voter dynamic, and a coalescing particle model. In each of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Piet Lammers , Fabio Toninelli

We generalize the original majority-vote model by incorporating an inertia into the microscopic dynamics of the spin flipping, where the spin-flip probability of any individual depends not only on the states of its neighbors, but also on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-13 Hanshuang Chen , Chuansheng Shen , Haifeng Zhang , Guofeng Li , Zhonghuai Hou , Jürgen Kurths

Opinion dynamics is crucial for unraveling the complexities of human interaction in the information age. How to speed up consensus without disturbing the fate of the system is key for opinion dynamics. We propose a voter model on adaptive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-12 Xunlong Wang , Bin Wu

Non-linear voter models assume that the opinion of an agent depends on the opinions of its neighbors in a non-linear manner. This allows for voting rules different from majority voting. While the linear voter model is known to reach…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 Frank Schweitzer , Laxmidhar Behera

Choice models, which capture popular preferences over objects of interest, play a key role in making decisions whose eventual outcome is impacted by human choice behavior. In most scenarios, the choice model, which can effectively be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-22 Vivek F. Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah

A one-dimensional interacting particle system is said to exhibit interface tightness if starting in an initial condition describing the interface between two constant configurations of different types, the process modulo translations is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-25 Rongfeng Sun , Jan M. Swart , Jinjiong Yu

We consider a coupled system mimicking opinion formation under the influence of a group of $q$ neighbors ($q$-lobby) that consists of an Ising part governed by temperature-like parameter $T$ and a voter dynamics parameterized by noise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Anna Chmiel , Julian Sienkiewicz

We address the link between the controllability or observability of a stochastic complex system and concepts of information theory. We show that the most influential degrees of freedom can be detected without acting on the system, by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-11 Pierre-Alain Toupance , Laurent Lefèvre , Bastien Chopard

We introduce and study a simple model for the dynamics of voting intention in a population of agents that have to choose between two candidates. The level of indecision of a given agent is modeled by its propensity to vote for one of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Federico Vazquez , Nicolas Saintier , Juan Pablo Pinasco

We model voting behaviour in the multi-group setting of a two-tier voting system using sequences of de Finetti measures. Our model is defined by using the de Finetti representation of a probability measure (i.e. as a mixture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Gabor Toth

We introduce an heterogeneous nonlinear $q$-voter model with zealots and two types of susceptible voters, and study its non-equilibrium properties when the population is finite and well mixed. In this two-opinion model, each individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-10 Andrew Mellor , Mauro Mobilia , R. K. P. Zia