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Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

Time series is a special type of sequence data, a sequence of real-valued random variables collected at even intervals of time. The real-world multivariate time series comes with noises and contains complicated local and global temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Site Mo , Haoxin Wang , Bixiong Li , Songhai Fan , Yuankai Wu , Xianggen Liu

Flood risk is correlated in space and time, challenging insurance systems that rely on diversification across assets. Financial instruments governing flood coverage are typically structured as 1 to 5-year contracts, exposing portfolios to…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-16 Adam Nayak , Pierre Gentine , Upmanu Lall

Civil engineers use numerical simulations of a building's responses to seismic forces to understand the nature of building failures, the limitations of building codes, and how to determine the latter to prevent the former. Such simulations…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Zhenge Zhao , Danilo Motta , Matthew Berger , Joshua A. Levine , Ismail B. Kuzucu , Robert B. Fleischman , Afonso Paiva , Carlos Scheidegger

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

This topic review communicates working experiences regarding interaction of a multiplicity of processes. Our experiences come from climate change modelling, materials science, cell physiology and public health, and macroeconomic modelling.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-02-07 Bernhelm Booss-Bavnbek , Rasmus Kristoffer Pedersen , Ulf Rørbæk Pedersen

We present a new method for time series clustering which we call the Hierarchical Spectral Merger (HSM) method. This procedure is based on the spectral theory of time series and identifies series that share similar oscillations or…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-28 Carolina Euan , Hernando Ombao , Joaquin Ortega

A general dynamical cluster identification framework including both modeling and computation is developed. The earthquake declustering problem is studied to demonstrate how this framework applies. A stochastic model is proposed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Zhengxiao Wu

This paper proposes strategies to detect time reversibility in stationary stochastic processes by using the properties of mixed causal and noncausal models. It shows that they can also be used for non-stationary processes when the trend…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-23 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq , Claudio Morana

In this paper, we propose a concept to design, track, and compare application-specific feature definitions expressed as sets of critical points. Our work has been inspired by the observation that in many applications a large variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Wito Engelke , Talha Bin Masood , Jakob Beran , Rodrigo Caballero , Ingrid Hotz

The widespread adoption of smart meters for monitoring energy consumption has generated vast quantities of high-resolution time series data which remains underutilised. While clustering has emerged as a fundamental tool for mining smart…

A wide range of data that appear in scientific experiments and simulations are multivariate or multifield in nature, consisting of multiple scalar fields. Topological feature search of such data aims to reveal important properties useful to…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Tripti Agarwal , Amit Chattopadhyay , Vijay Natarajan

Deterministic simulations of the rate equations governing cluster dynamics in materials are limited by the number of equations to integrate. Stochastic simulations are limited by the high frequency of certain events. We propose a coupling…

Materials Science · Physics 2017-10-11 Pierre Terrier , Manuel Athènes , Thomas Jourdan , Gilles Adjanor , Gabriel Stoltz

We recently developed a generalization of the halo model in order to describe the spatial clustering properties of each mass component in the Universe, including hot gas and stars. In this work we discuss the complementarity of the model…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 C. Fedeli , E. Semboloni , M. Velliscig , M. Van Daalen , J. Schaye , H. Hoekstra

An algorithm for determining stationary periods for time series of random sea waves is proposed in this work. This is a problem in which changes between stationary sea states are usually slow and segmentation procedures based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Pedro C. Alvarez-Esteban , C. Euán , J. Ortega

Self-consistently modeling baryonic effects in survey-scale cosmological simulations has become increasingly important as the diversity, precision, and statistical reach of modern observations continue to improve. The advent of exascale…

We present a new algorithm for clustering longitudinal data. Data of this type can be conceptualized as consisting of individuals and, for each such individual, observations of a time-dependent variable made at various times. Generically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Marie-Pierre Sylvestre , Laurence Boulanger

High resolution information on climatic conditions is essential to many applications in environmental and ecological sciences. Here we present the CHELSA Climatologies at high resolution for the earths land surface areas data of downscaled…

In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer