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The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz

In this paper, we develop a hybrid approach to forecasting the volatility and risk of financial instruments by combining common econometric GARCH time series models with deep learning neural networks. For the latter, we employ Gated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Jakub Michańków , Łukasz Kwiatkowski , Janusz Morajda

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Foreign Exchange (Forex) is the largest financial market in the world. The daily trading volume of the Forex market is much higher than that of stock and futures markets. Therefore, it is of great significance for investors to establish a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-10 Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

In a recent paper "Deep Learning Volatility" a fast 2-step deep calibration algorithm for rough volatility models was proposed: in the first step the time consuming mapping from the model parameter to the implied volatilities is learned by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-08 Dirk Roeder , Georgi Dimitroff

This paper introduces a novel multivariate volatility modeling framework, named Long Short-Term Memory enhanced BEKK (LSTM-BEKK), that integrates deep learning into multivariate GARCH processes. By combining the flexibility of recurrent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Haoyuan Wang , Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang

Propose a deep learning driven multi factor investment model optimization method for risk control. By constructing a deep learning model based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and combining it with a multi factor investment model, we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-02 Ruisi Li , Xinhui Gu

This paper addresses the problem of pricing involved financial derivatives by means of advanced of deep learning techniques. More precisely, we smartly combine several sophisticated neural network-based concepts like differential machine…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-18 Francisco Gómez Casanova , Álvaro Leitao , Fernando de Lope Contreras , Carlos Vázquez

Stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is a stochastic process, can capture most of the essential stylized facts of implied volatility surfaces and give more realistic dynamics of the volatility smile/skew. However, they come…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-26 Abir Sridi , Paul Bilokon

Events such as the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 or the COVID-19 pandemic caused significant losses to banks and insurance entities. They also demonstrated the importance of using accurate equity risk models and having a risk management…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-28 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

In this paper, the prediction capabilities of recurrent neural networks are assessed in the low-order model of near-wall turbulence by Moehlis {\it et al.} (New J. Phys. {\bf 6}, 56, 2004). Our results show that it is possible to obtain…

This paper investigates the forecasting performance of COMEX copper futures realized volatility across various high-frequency intervals using both econometric volatility models and deep learning recurrent neural network models. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-16 Zian Wang , Xinyi Lu

Asset value forecasting has always attracted an enormous amount of interest among researchers in quantitative analysis. The advent of modern machine learning models has introduced new tools to tackle this classical problem. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov , Ikhlaas Gurrib

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

This study delves into the analysis of financial markets through the lens of Wyckoff Phases, a framework devised by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century. Focusing on the accumulation pattern within the Wyckoff framework, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Jai Pal

The recent surge in Deep Learning (DL) research of the past decade has successfully provided solutions to many difficult problems. The field of quantitative analysis has been slowly adapting the new methods to its problems, but due to…

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang
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