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The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-14 Xun Huan , Cosmin Safta , Khachik Sargsyan , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred , Zachary P. Vane , Guilhem Lacaze , Joseph C. Oefelein , Habib N. Najm

The high computational cost of phase field simulations remains a major limitation for predicting dendritic solidification in metals, particularly in additive manufacturing, where microstructural control is critical. This work presents a…

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Quantifying uncertainty associated with the microstructure variation of a material can be a computationally daunting task, especially when dealing with advanced constitutive models and fine mesh resolutions in the crystal plasticity finite…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-02-10 Anh Tran , Pieterjan Robbe , Hojun Lim

While generative models have become increasingly prevalent across various domains, fundamental concerns regarding their reliability persist. A crucial yet understudied aspect of these models is the uncertainty quantification surrounding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Giorgio Morales , Frederic Jurie , Jalal Fadili

The practice of uncertainty quantification (UQ) validation, notably in machine learning for the physico-chemical sciences, rests on several graphical methods (scattering plots, calibration curves, reliability diagrams and confidence curves)…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-03-31 Pascal Pernot

The comprehensive integration of machine learning healthcare models within clinical practice remains suboptimal, notwithstanding the proliferation of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. A predominant factor hindering…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Ling Huang , Su Ruan , Yucheng Xing , Mengling Feng

In this article, we extend our previous work (Applicable Analysis, 2024, pp. 1-25) on the steepest descent method for uncertain multiobjective optimization problems. While that study established local convergence, it did not address global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Shubham Kumar , Nihar Kumar Mahato , Debdas Ghosh

Data-driven surrogate models are widely used for applications such as design optimization and uncertainty quantification, where repeated evaluations of an expensive simulator are required. For most partial differential equation (PDE)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-18 Wei Xing , Robert M. Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Model stealing aims at inferring a victim model's functionality at a fraction of the original training cost. While the goal is clear, in practice the model's architecture, weight dimension, and original training data can not be determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 David Pape , Sina Däubener , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Antonio Emanuele Cinà , Lea Schönherr

In this paper, we study the multiscale Boltzmann equation with multi-dimensional random parameters by a bi-fidelity stochastic collocation (SC) method developed in [A. Narayan, C. Gittelson and D. Xiu, SIAM J. Sci. Comput., 36 (2014); X.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Liu Liu , Xueyu Zhu

In a multi-fidelity setting, data are available from two sources, high- and low-fidelity. Low-fidelity data has larger size and can be leveraged to make more efficient inference about quantities of interest, e.g. the mean, for high-fidelity…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Minji Kim , Brendan Brown , Vladas Pipiras

Uncertainty quantification is essential when deploying learning-based control methods in safety-critical systems. This is commonly realized by constructing uncertainty tubes that enclose the unknown function of interest, e.g., the reward…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Abdullah Tokmak , Toni Karvonen , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

The goals of this chapter are twofold. First, we wish to introduce molecular dynamics (MD) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) in a common setting in order to demonstrate how the latter can increase confidence in the former. In some cases,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-09 Paul N. Patrone , Andrew Dienstfrey

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) is crucial for their reliable deployment, especially in high-stakes applications. Current state-of-the-art methods for measuring semantic uncertainty in LLMs rely on strict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yashvir S. Grewal , Edwin V. Bonilla , Thang D. Bui

High-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations are widely used to analyze nuclear reactor transients, but are computationally expensive when exploring large parameter spaces. Multifidelity surrogate models offer an approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Meredith Eaheart , Majdi I. Radaideh

Reduced-order models (ROMs) can efficiently simulate high-dimensional physical systems but lack robust uncertainty quantification methods. Existing approaches are frequently architecture- or training-specific, which limits flexibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jonas E. Katona , Emily K. de Jong , Nipun Gunawardena

Stochastic optimization of engineering systems is often infeasible due to repeated evaluations of a computationally expensive, high-fidelity simulation. Bi-fidelity methods mitigate this challenge by leveraging a cheaper, approximate model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Thomas O. Dixon , Geoffrey F. Bomarito , James E. Warner , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Multimodal foundation models offer promising advancements for enhancing driving perception systems, but their high computational and financial costs pose challenges. We develop a method that leverages foundation models to refine predictions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Yunhao Yang , Yuxin Hu , Mao Ye , Zaiwei Zhang , Zhichao Lu , Yi Xu , Ufuk Topcu , Ben Snyder