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In this paper, we will present a strong (or pathwise) approximation of standard Brownian motion by a class of orthogonal polynomials. The coefficients that are obtained from the expansion of Brownian motion in this polynomial basis are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-21 James Foster , Terry Lyons , Harald Oberhauser

Estimating means on Riemannian manifolds is generally computationally expensive because the Riemannian distance function is not known in closed-form for most manifolds. To overcome this, we show that Riemannian diffusion means can be…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-02-19 Frederik Möbius Rygaard , Steen Markvorsen , Søren Hauberg , Stefan Sommer

Simulation schemes for probabilistic inference in Bayesian belief networks offer many advantages over exact algorithms; for example, these schemes have a linear and thus predictable runtime while exact algorithms have exponential runtime.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Remco R. Bouckaert

Moderate calibration, the expected event probability among observations with predicted probability z being equal to z, is a desired property of risk prediction models. Current graphical and numerical techniques for evaluating moderate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , John Petkau

Cross-classified data frequently arise in scientific fields such as education, healthcare, and social sciences. A common modeling strategy is to introduce crossed random effects within a regression framework. However, this approach often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shota Takeishi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this study, we introduce a novel method for generating new synthetic samples that are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) from high-dimensional real-valued probability distributions, as defined implicitly by a set of Ground…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-09 Hamidreza Behjoo , Michael Chertkov

Lie symmetry group method is applied to study Newtonian incompressible fluid's equations flow in turbulent boundary layers. The symmetry group and its optimal system are given, and group invariant solutions associated to the symmetries are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-07-06 Mehdi Nadjafikhah , Seyed Reza Hejazi

Denoising diffusion models are a novel class of generative models that have recently become extremely popular in machine learning. In this paper, we describe how such ideas can also be used to sample from posterior distributions and, more…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-29 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet

We consider a directed random walk making either 0 or $+1$ moves and a Brownian bridge, independent of the walk, conditioned to arrive at point $b$ on time $T$. The Hamiltonian is defined as the sum of the square of increments of the bridge…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Servet Martinez , Dimitri Petritis

In this paper, we estimate and leverage latent constant group structure to generate the point, set, and density forecasts for short dynamic panel data. We implement a nonparametric Bayesian approach to simultaneously identify coefficients…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Boyuan Zhang

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

We give a classification of homogeneous Riemannian structures on (non locally symmetric) $3$-dimensional Lie groups equipped with left invariant Riemannian metrics. This work together with classifications due to previous works yields a…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Jun-ichi Inoguchi , Yu Ohno

We discuss the geometric foundation behind the use of stochastic processes in the frame bundle of a smooth manifold to build stochastic models with applications in statistical analysis of non-linear data. The transition densities for the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Stefan Sommer , Anne Marie Svane

An ongoing challenge in animal ecology is developing movement models that account for the autocorrelation, and often temporal irregularity, in telemetry data. Continuous-time Langevin diffusion models have been proposed to model temporally…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Ron R. Togunov , S. Knutsen Furset , Martin E. Pettersen , Robert B. O'Hara

The marginal likelihood plays an important role in many areas of Bayesian statistics such as parameter estimation, model comparison, and model averaging. In most applications, however, the marginal likelihood is not analytically tractable…

With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We identify putative load-bearing structures (bridges) in experimental colloidal systems studied by confocal microscopy. Bridges are co-operative structures that have been used to explain stability and inhomogeneous force transmission in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-06-18 Matthew C. Jenkins , Mark D. Haw , Gary C. Barker , Wilson C. K. Poon , Stefan U. Egelhaaf

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

We present a new method to sample conditioned trajectories of a system evolving under Langevin dynamics, based on Brownian bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end at a certain point (or in a certain region) in space. The bridge…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland