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New events emerge over time influencing the topics of rumors in social media. Current rumor detection benchmarks use random splits as training, development and test sets which typically results in topical overlaps. Consequently, models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Yida Mu , Kalina Bontcheva , Nikolaos Aletras

This paper is devoted to change-point detection using only the ordinal structure of a time series. A statistic based on the conditional entropy of ordinal patterns characterizing the local up and down in a time series is introduced and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Anton M. Unakafov , Karsten Keller

The detection of anomalies or transitions in complex dynamical systems is of critical importance to various applications. In this study, we propose the use of machine learning to detect changepoints for high-dimensional dynamical systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Sen Lin , Gianmarco Mengaldo , Romit Maulik

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

Detection of emerging topics are now receiving renewed interest motivated by the rapid growth of social networks. Conventional term-frequency-based approaches may not be appropriate in this context, because the information exchanged are not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-14 Toshimitsu Takahashi , Ryota Tomioka , Kenji Yamanishi

Topic modeling is a key component in unsupervised learning, employed to identify topics within a corpus of textual data. The rapid growth of social media generates an ever-growing volume of textual data daily, making online topic modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Federica Granese , Benjamin Navet , Serena Villata , Charles Bouveyron

Information spread on networks can be efficiently modeled by considering three features: documents' content, time of publication relative to other publications, and position of the spreader in the network. Most previous works model up to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Gaël Poux-Médard , Julien Velcin , Sabine Loudcher

We consider a popular online change-point problem of detecting a transient change in distributions of i.i.d. random variables. For this change-point problem, several change-point procedures are formulated and some advanced results for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Jack Noonan

We consider change-point latent factor models for high-dimensional time series, where a structural break may exist in the underlying factor structure. In particular, we propose consistent estimators for factor loading spaces before and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-24 Xialu Liu , Ting Zhang

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

This research presents an analytical model that aims to pin-point influential posts across a social web comprised of a corpus of posts. The model employs the Latent Dirichlet Al-location algorithm to associate posts with topics, and the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Luiza Nacshon , Rami Puzis , Amparo Sanmateho

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Artur Goldman , Konstantin Yakovlev , Valeriia Dzis , Uliana Vinogradova

The concept of homogeneity plays a critical role in statistics, both in its applications as well as its theory. Change point analysis is a statistical tool that aims to attain homogeneity within time series data. This is accomplished…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-19 Nicholas A. James , David S. Matteson

Latent Dirichlet analysis, or topic modeling, is a flexible latent variable framework for modeling high-dimensional sparse count data. Various learning algorithms have been developed in recent years, including collapsed Gibbs sampling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Arthur Asuncion , Max Welling , Padhraic Smyth , Yee Whye Teh

Topic models have been widely explored as probabilistic generative models of documents. Traditional inference methods have sought closed-form derivations for updating the models, however as the expressiveness of these models grows, so does…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Yishu Miao , Edward Grefenstette , Phil Blunsom

Offline change point detection retrospectively locates change points in a time series. Many nonparametric methods that target i.i.d. mean and variance changes fail in the presence of nonlinear temporal dependence, and model based methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

Change point detection algorithms have numerous applications in fields of scientific and economic importance. We consider the problem of change point detection on compositional multivariate data (each sample is a probability mass function),…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-16 Prabuchandran K. J. , Nitin Singh , Pankaj Dayama , Vinayaka Pandit

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

We describe a new method for visualizing topics, the distributions over terms that are automatically extracted from large text corpora using latent variable models. Our method finds significant $n$-grams related to a topic, which are then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-07-07 David M. Blei , John D. Lafferty

Probabilistic topic models are a powerful tool for extracting latent themes from large text datasets. In many text datasets, we also observe per-document covariates (e.g., source, style, political affiliation) that act as environments that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Dominic Sobhani , Amir Feder , David Blei