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We present general methods to exactly calculate mean-first passage quantities on self-similar networks defined recursively. In particular, we calculate the mean first-passage time and the splitting probabilities associated to a source and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 B. Meyer , E. Agliari , O. Bénichou , R. Voituriez

Quantization algorithms have been successfully adopted to option pricing in finance thanks to the high convergence rate of the numerical approximation. In particular, very recently, recursive marginal quantization has been proven to be a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Giorgia Callegaro , Lucio Fiorin , Andrea Pallavicini

We present a simple, fast, and accurate method for pricing a variety of discretely monitored options in the Black-Scholes framework, including autocallable structured products, single and double barrier options, and Bermudan options. The…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Min Huang , Guo Luo

In this article we discuss the problem of calculating optimal model-independent (robust) bounds for the price of Asian options with discrete and continuous averaging. We will give geometric characterisations of the maximising and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Florian Stebegg

This paper presents pricing and hedging methods for rainbow options and lookback options under Bayesian Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive (MS--VAR) process. Here we assumed that a regime-switching process is generated by a homogeneous…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-01 Battulga Gankhuu

We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

In this paper we build on previous work which uses inferences techniques, in particular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, to solve parameterized control problems. We propose a number of modifications in order to make this approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Matthias Hoffman , Hendrik Kueck , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

We present a path integral method to derive closed-form solutions for option prices in a stochastic volatility model. The method is explained in detail for the pricing of a plain vanilla option. The flexibility of our approach is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 D. Lemmens , M. Wouters , J. Tempere , S. Foulon

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

We introduce a new approach to quantize the Euler scheme of an $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued diffusion process. This method is based on a Markovian and componentwise product quantization and allows us, from a numerical point of view, to speak of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Fiorin Lucio , Gilles Pagès , Abass Sagna

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Erik Van der Straeten

We consider a dynamic pricing problem where customer response to the current price is impacted by the customer price expectation, aka reference price. We study a simple and novel reference price mechanism where reference price is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Shipra Agrawal , Wei Tang

We derive a closed-form solution for the price of an average price as well as an average strike geometric Asian option, by making use of the path integral formulation. Our results are compared to a numerical Monte Carlo simulation. We also…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-26 Jeroen P. A. Devreese , Damiaan Lemmens , Jacques Tempere

We present a comprehensive quantum algorithm tailored for pricing autocallable options, offering a full implementation and experimental validation. Our experiments include simulations conducted on high-performance computing (HPC) hardware,…

Recurrent tasks such as pricing, calibration and risk assessment need to be executed accurately and in real-time. Simultaneously we observe an increase in model sophistication on the one hand and growing demands on the quality of risk…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-11 Maximilian Gaß , Kathrin Glau , Mirco Mahlstedt , Maximilian Mair

The use of sequential Monte Carlo within simulation for path-dependent option pricing is proposed and evaluated. Recently, it was shown that explicit solutions and importance sampling are valuable for efficient simulation of spot price and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-13 Michael A. Kouritzin , Anne MacKay

The proposed model modifies option pricing formulas for the basic case of log-normal probability distribution providing correspondence to formulated criteria of efficiency and completeness. The model is self-calibrating by historic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Pavel Levin

In this paper, we establish a probabilistic representation as well as some integration by parts formulae for the marginal law at a given time maturity of some stochastic volatility model with unbounded drift. Relying on a perturbation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Junchao Chen , Noufel Frikha , Houzhi Li