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These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Christis Katsouris

In this paper, we establish a high-dimensional CLT for the sample mean of $p$-dimensional spatial data observed over irregularly spaced sampling sites in $\mathbb{R}^d$, allowing the dimension $p$ to be much larger than the sample size $n$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Daisuke Kurisu , Kengo Kato , Xiaofeng Shao

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

We propose an iterative variable selection method for the accelerated failure time model using high-dimensional survival data. Our method pioneers the use of the recently proposed structured screen-and-select framework for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Nilotpal Sanyal

This paper proposes a new procedure to build factor models for high-dimensional unit-root time series by postulating that a $p$-dimensional unit-root process is a nonsingular linear transformation of a set of unit-root processes, a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

A new time series bootstrap scheme, the time frequency toggle (TFT)-bootstrap, is proposed. Its basic idea is to bootstrap the Fourier coefficients of the observed time series, and then to back-transform them to obtain a bootstrap sample in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-21 Claudia Kirch , Dimitris N. Politis

Bootstrap methods have long been the cornerstone of ensemble learning in machine learning. This paper presents a theoretical analysis of bootstrap techniques applied to the Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) ensemble in the context…

The paper examines the problem of representing the dynamics of low order autoregressive (AR) models with time varying (TV) coefficients. The existing literature computes the forecasts of the series from a recursion relation. Instead, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-14 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

We address the problem of Bayesian structure learning for domains with hundreds of variables by employing non-parametric bootstrap, recursively. We propose a method that covers both model averaging and model selection in the same framework.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-14 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Guy Koren , Gal Novik

We introduce a class of Bayesian matrix dynamic factor models that accommodates time-varying volatility, outliers, and cross-sectional correlation in the idiosyncratic components. For model comparison, we employ an importance-sampling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Wei Zhang

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

We propose a new unsupervised learning method for clustering a large number of time series based on a latent factor structure. Each cluster is characterized by its own cluster-specific factors in addition to some common factors which impact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Bo Zhang , Guangming Pan , Qiwei Yao , Wang Zhou

In this paper, we propose a distributed framework for reducing the dimensionality of high-dimensional, large-scale, heterogeneous matrix-variate time series data using a factor model. The data are first partitioned column-wise (or row-wise)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-19 Hangjin Jiang , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

Recent deep learning models for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) often emphasize complex, handcrafted designs, while simpler architectures like linear models or MLPs have often outperformed these intricate solutions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Yihang Lu , Yangyang Xu , Qitao Qing , Xianwei Meng

We present a new fitting technique based on the parametric bootstrap method, which relies on the idea to produce artificial measurements using the estimated probability distribution of the experimental data. In order to investigate the main…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-03-18 Paolo Pedroni , Stefano Sconfietti

We consider the problem of testing the mean of high-dimensional data when the dimension may grow without explicit rate restrictions relative to the sample size. The proposed procedure is based on the statistic V_n = n||Xn||^2, which avoids…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Dietmar Ferger

Time series classification stands as a pivotal and intricate challenge across various domains, including finance, healthcare, and industrial systems. In contemporary research, there has been a notable upsurge in exploring feature extraction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Alireza Keshavarzian , Shahrokh Valaee

Meta-analyses require an effect-size estimate and its corresponding sampling variance from primary studies. In some cases, estimators for the sampling variance of a given effect size statistic may not exist, necessitating the derivation of…

Practical inference procedures for quantile regression models of panel data have been a pervasive concern in empirical work, and can be especially challenging when the panel is observed over many time periods and temporal dependence needs…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Antonio F. Galvao , Carlos Lamarche , Thomas Parker

As is known, factor analysis is a popular method to reduce dimension for high-dimensional data. For matrix data, the dimension reduction can be more effectively achieved through both row and column directions. In this paper, we introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-17 Xialu Liu , Elynn Chen