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In biomedical studies, testing for differences in covariance offers scientific insights beyond mean differences, especially when differences are driven by complex joint behavior between features. However, when differences in joint behavior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 David Veitch , Yinqiu He , Jun Young Park

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Contrastive Reinforcement Learning (CRL) provides a promising framework for extracting useful structured representations from unlabeled interactions. By pulling together state-action pairs and their corresponding future states, while…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Arsh Tangri , Nichols Crawford Taylor , Haojie Huang , Robert Platt

Modern high-dimensional methods often adopt the "bet on sparsity" principle, while in supervised multivariate learning statisticians may face "dense" problems with a large number of nonzero coefficients. This paper proposes a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Yiyuan She , Jiahui Shen , Chao Zhang

Causal representation learning (CRL) enhances machine learning models' robustness and generalizability by learning structural causal models associated with data-generating processes. We focus on a family of CRL methods that uses contrastive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-17 Xiusi Li , Sékou-Oumar Kaba , Siamak Ravanbakhsh

Conditional-independence-based discovery uses statistical tests to identify a graphical model that represents the independence structure of variables in a dataset. These tests, however, can be unreliable, and algorithms are sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Philipp M. Faller , Dominik Janzing

In this work, we propose a novel algorithmic framework for data sharing and coordinated exploration for the purpose of learning more data-efficient and better performing policies under a concurrent reinforcement learning (CRL) setting. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-01 Tim Tse , Isaac Chan , Zhitang Chen

We propose a sequential test for detecting arbitrary distribution shifts that allows conformal test martingales (CTMs) to work under a fixed, reference-conditional setting. Existing CTM detectors construct test martingales by continually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Shalev Shaer , Yarin Bar , Drew Prinster , Yaniv Romano

This paper is dedicated to the consistency of systemic risk measures with respect to stochastic dependence. It compares two alternative notions of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) available in the current literature. These notions are both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-30 Georg Mainik , Eric Schaanning

We transform the randomness of LLMs into precise assurances using an actuator at the API interface that applies a user-defined risk constraint in finite samples via Conformal Risk Control (CRC). This label-free and model-agnostic actuator…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Lingyou Pang , Lei Huang , Jianyu Lin , Tianyu Wang , Alexander Aue , Carey E. Priebe

Randomized benchmarking (RB) is a widely used strategy to assess the quality of available quantum gates in a computational context. RB involves applying known random sequences of gates to an initial state and using the statistics of a final…

Many modern statistical applications ask for the estimation of a covariance (or precision) matrix in settings where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. There exists a broad class of ridge-type estimators that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-26 Carel F. W. Peeters , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Leveraging external or historical data to improve the efficiency of randomized clinical trials without introducing bias or inflating the Type I error rate remains challenging. Recent work on externally trained prognostic scores, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junyi Zhou , Qing Liu , May Mo , Amy Xia

Permutation tests are widely recognized as robust alternatives to tests based on normal theory. Random permutation tests have been frequently employed to assess the significance of variables in linear models. Despite their widespread use,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Leying Guan

Sequential monitoring in clinical trials is often employed to allow for early stopping and other interim decisions, while maintaining the type I error rate. However, sequential monitoring is typically described only in the context of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Victoria Plamadeala , William F. Rosenberger

Conditional Monte Carlo refers to sampling from the conditional distribution of a random vector X given the value T(X) = t for a function T(X). Classical conditional Monte Carlo methods were designed for estimating conditional expectations…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Bo Henry Lindqvist , Rasmus Erlemann , Gunnar Taraldsen

The randomization inference literature studying randomized controlled trials (RCTs) assumes that units' potential outcomes are deterministic. This assumption is unlikely to hold, as stochastic shocks may take place during the experiment. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Antoine Deeb , Clément de Chaisemartin

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently issued guidance that emphasizes the importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Kelly Van Lancker , Frank Bretz , Oliver Dukes

Tests of conditional independence (CI) underpin a number of important problems in machine learning and statistics, from causal discovery to evaluation of predictor fairness and out-of-distribution robustness. Shah and Peters (2020) showed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Zheng He , Roman Pogodin , Yazhe Li , Namrata Deka , Arthur Gretton , Danica J. Sutherland

The problem of measuring conditional dependence between two random phenomena arises when a third one (a confounder) has a potential influence on the amount of information between them. A typical issue in this challenging problem is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ferran de Cabrera , Marc Vilà-Insa , Jaume Riba