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A probabilistic technique for the joint estimation of background and sources with the aim of detecting faint and extended celestial objects is described. Bayesian probability theory is applied to gain insight into the coexistence of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 F. Guglielmetti , R. Fischer , V. Dose

We present a new statistical method for constructing background subtracted measurements from event list data gathered by X-ray and gamma ray observatories. This method was initially developed specifically to construct images that account…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are applicable to statistical models specified by generative processes with analytically intractable likelihoods. These methods try to approximate the posterior density of a model parameter by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Subhroshekhar Ghosh , Kim Cuc Pham

Many scientifically well-motivated statistical models in natural, engineering, and environmental sciences are specified through a generative process. However, in some cases, it may not be possible to write down the likelihood for these…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Subhroshekhar Ghosh , David J. Nott , Kim Cuc Pham

Detecting the dark matter annihilation signal from Galactic substructure, or subhalos, is an important challenge for high-energy gamma-ray experiments. In this paper we discuss detection prospects by combining two different aspects of the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2010-12-24 Eric J. Baxter , Scott Dodelson , Savvas M. Koushiappas , Louis E. Strigari

The nature of the Isotropic $\gamma$-ray Background (IGRB) measured by the Large Area Telescope (LAT) on the Fermi $\gamma$-ray space Telescope ({\it Fermi}) remains partially unexplained. Non-negligible contributions may originate from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-05 Torsten Bringmann , Francesca Calore , Mattia Di Mauro , Fiorenza Donato

This invited feature article introduces and provides an extensive simulation study of a new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework for estimating the posterior distribution and the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 George Karabatsos

Several cosmic ray experiments have measured excesses in electrons and positrons, relative to standard backgrounds, for energies from ~ 10 GeV - 1 TeV. These excesses could be due to new astrophysical sources, but an explanation in which…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2014-11-20 Spencer Chang , Lisa Goodenough

We discuss an approach for deriving robust posterior distributions from $M$-estimating functions using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods. In particular, we use $M$-estimating functions to construct suitable summary statistics…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-13 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

The synthesis model for the cosmic X-ray background (XRB) -based on the integrated emission of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGNs)- is complemented with new observational results. We adopt the most recent estimates of the AGN X-ray luminosity…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Gilli , G. Risaliti , M. Salvati

High-energy photons from dark matter annihilation contribute to the cosmic gamma-ray background (CGB). Since dark matter particles are weakly interacting, annihilation can happen only in high density regions such as dark matter halos. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Shin'ichiro Ando , Eiichiro Komatsu

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

Generalized Bayesian inference (GBI) is an alternative inference framework motivated by robustness to modeling errors, where a specific loss function is used to link the model parameters with observed data, instead of the log-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander , Henri Pesonen

The field of gamma ray astronomy relies heavily on the statistical analysis of data. Because of the paucity of data, and the often large errors associated with detecting gamma rays, analysis and interpretation of the data require…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 W. F. Tompkins

In the paper, we continually use the method of image stacking to study the origin of the extragalactic gamma-ray background (EGB) at GeV bands, and find that the Faint Images of the Radio Sky at Twenty centimeters (FIRST) sources undetected…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-15 Ming Zhou , Jiancheng Wang

The deep X-ray surveys performed by the two major X-ray observatories on flight, Chandra and XMM, are being resolving the bulk of the cosmic X-ray background (XRB) in the 2-10 keV energy band, where the sky flux is dominated by…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Gilli

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions in models with unknown or computationally intractable likelihoods. Both the accuracy and computational efficiency of ABC depend on the choice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Bai Jiang , Tung-yu Wu , Charles Zheng , Wing H. Wong

A functional approximation to implement Bayesian source separation analysis is introduced and applied to separation of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) using WMAP data. The approximation allows for tractable full-sky map…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-17 Simon P. Wilson , Jiwon Yoon

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

The observation of the diffuse Galactic gamma ray flux is the most powerful tool to study cosmic rays in different regions of the Galaxy, because the energy and angular distributions of the photons encode information about the density and…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-08-15 Paolo Lipari , Silvia Vernetto