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Predictive modelling represents an emerging field that combines existing and novel methodologies aimed to rapidly understand physical mechanisms and concurrently develop new materials, processes and structures. In the current study,…

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis identifies the influential uncertain input to guide decision-making. We propose a general sensitivity framework with respect to the input distribution parameters that unifies a wide range of sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Jiannan Yang

Operator situation awareness is a pivotal yet elusive determinant of human reliability in complex nuclear control environments. Existing assessment methods, such as SAGAT and SART, remain static, retrospective, and detached from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Shuai Chen , Huiqiao Jia , Tao Qing , Li Zhang , Xingyu Xiao

To validate the safety of automated vehicles (AV), scenario-based testing aims to systematically describe driving scenarios an AV might encounter. In this process, continuous inputs such as velocities result in an infinite number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Max Winkelmann , Mike Kohlhoff , Hadj Hamma Tadjine , Steffen Müller

Uncertainty control and scalability to large datasets are the two main issues for the deployment of Gaussian process (GP) models within the autonomous machine learning-based prediction pipelines in material science and chemistry. One way to…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-02-21 Mikhail Tsitsvero , Mingoo Jin , Andrey Lyalin

In the rapidly evolving digital era, comprehending the intricate dynamics influencing server power consumption, efficiency, and performance is crucial for sustainable data center operations. However, existing models lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Nuoa Lei , Arman Shehabi , Jun Lu , Zhi Cao , Jonathan Koomey , Sarah Smith , Eric Masanet

Accurate estimation of long-term risk is essential for the design and analysis of stochastic dynamical systems. Existing risk quantification methods typically rely on extensive datasets involving risk events observed over extended time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Zhuoyuan Wang , Albert Chern , Yorie Nakahira

Pre-validation is a way to build prediction model with two datasets of significantly different feature dimensions. Previous work showed that the asymptotic distribution of the resulting test statistic for the pre-validated predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Jing Shang , Sourav Chatterjee , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

Prior sensitivity examination plays an important role in applied Bayesian analyses. This is especially true for Bayesian hierarchical models, where interpretability of the parameters within deeper layers in the hierarchy becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-18 Malgorzata Roos , Thiago G. Martins , Leonhard Held , Havard Rue

Foundation models have revolutionized general-purpose problem-solving, offering rapid task adaptation through pretraining, meta-training, and finetuning. Recent crucial advances in these paradigms reveal the importance of challenging task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qi Wang , Zehao Xiao , Yixiu Mao , Yun Qu , Jiayi Shen , Yiqin Lv , Xiangyang Ji

Clinical time-series forecasting is increasingly studied for decision support, yet standard aggregate metrics can obscure whether a model is actually useful for the task it is meant to serve. In safety-critical settings, low average error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Alireza Namazi , Heman Shakeri

Machine-learned interatomic potentials enable large systems to be simulated for long time scales at near ab-initio accuracy. This accuracy is achieved by fitting extremely flexible model architectures to high quality reference data. In…

Our decision-making processes are becoming more data driven, based on data from multiple sources, of different types, processed by a variety of technologies. As technology becomes more relevant for decision processes, the more likely they…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Tomasz Ostwald

This survey concerns probabilistic models motivated by cooperative sequential adsorption (CSA) models. CSA models are widely used in physics and chemistry for modelling adsorption processes in which adsorption rates depend on the spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Vadim Shcherbakov

In nuclear engineering, modeling and simulations (M&Ss) are widely applied to support risk-informed safety analysis. Since nuclear safety analysis has important implications, a convincing validation process is needed to assess simulation…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-08 Linyu Lin , Nam Dinh

Generating accurate runtime safety estimates for autonomous systems is vital to ensuring their continued proliferation. However, exhaustive reasoning about future behaviors is generally too complex to do at runtime. To provide scalable and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Matthew Cleaveland , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee , Ivan Ruchkin

Stress is a complex issue with wide-ranging physical and psychological impacts on human daily performance. Specifically, acute stress detection is becoming a valuable application in contextual human understanding. Two common approaches to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Van-Tu Ninh , Manh-Duy Nguyen , Sinéad Smyth , Minh-Triet Tran , Graham Healy , Binh T. Nguyen , Cathal Gurrin

Predictive models are one of the most important techniques that are widely applied in many areas of software engineering. There have been a large number of primary studies that apply predictive models and that present well-preformed studies…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yanming Yang , Xin Xia , David Lo , Tingting Bi , John Grundy , Xiaohu Yang

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

Mechanistic understanding of organic reactions can facilitate reaction development, impurity prediction, and in principle, reaction discovery. While several machine learning models have sought to address the task of predicting reaction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Joonyoung F. Joung , Mun Hong Fong , Jihye Roh , Zhengkai Tu , John Bradshaw , Connor W. Coley
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