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This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev

Gaussian processes are probabilistic models that are commonly used as functional priors in machine learning. Due to their probabilistic nature, they can be used to capture the prior information on the statistics of noise, smoothness of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-02 Ahmad Farooq , Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Simo Särkkä

The fractional Ornstein-Uhleneck (fOU) process is described by the overdamped Langevin equation $\dot{x}(t)+\gamma x=\sqrt{2 D}\xi(t)$, where $\xi(t)$ is the fractional Gaussian noise with the Hurst exponent $0<H<1$. For $H\neq 1/2$ the fOU…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-03 Alexander Valov , Baruch Meerson

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia

Let $\theta>0$. We consider a one-dimensional fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t= -\theta\ X_t dt+dB_t,\quad t\geq0,$ where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-17 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

Closed-form expressions, parametrized by the Hurst exponent $H$ and the length $n$ of a time series, are derived for paths of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) in the $\mathcal{A}-\mathcal{T}$ plane,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-01 Mariusz Tarnopolski

Generalisations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined through Langevin equation $dU_t = - \Theta U_t dt + dG_t,$ such as fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, have recently received a lot of attention in the literature. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

Starting from the construction of a geometric rough path associated with a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in]{1/4}, {1/2}[$ given by Coutin and Qian (2002), we prove a large deviation principle in the space of geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Annie Millet , Marta Sanz-Solé

In this paper, we will evaluate integrals that define the conditional expectation, variance and characteristic function of stochastic processes with respect to fractional Brownian motion (fBm) for all relevant Hurst indices, i.e. $H \in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Fei Gao , Shuaiqiang Liu , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Nico M. Temme

We study the joint asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameter $(\theta,\,\mu)$ for the non-ergodic Vasicek models driven by seven specific Gaussian processes. %The similar result concerning to the non-ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong Chen , Wu-Jun Gao , Ying Li

When stock prices are observed at high frequencies, more information can be utilized in estimation of parameters of the price process. However, high-frequency data are contaminated by the market microstructure noise which causes significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

We study the estimation of the invariant density of additive fractional stochastic differential equations with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. We first focus on continuous observations and develop a kernel-based estimator achieving faster…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart , Fabien Panloup , Julian Sieber

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian process x(t) with zero mean and two-time correlations <x(t)x(s)> ~ t^{2H} + s^{2H} - |t-s|^{2H}, where H, with 0<H<1 is called the Hurst exponent. For H = 1/2, x(t) is a Brownian motion, while for H…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Kay Jörg Wiese , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Let $B=\{(B_{t}^{1},..., B_{t}^{d}), t\geq 0\}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H$ and let $R_{t}=% \sqrt{(B_{t}^{1})^{2}+... +(B_{t}^{d})^{2}}$ be the fractional Bessel process. It\^{o}'s formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart

Let $u = \{u(t, x); (t,x)\in \mathbb R_+\times \mathbb R\}$ be the solution to a linear stochastic heat equation driven by a Gaussian noise, which is a Brownian motion in time and a fractional Brownian motion in space with Hurst parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Ran Wang , Shiling Zhang

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar