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We develop a new method for the statistical esitmation of the tail of the distribution of earthquake sizes recorded in the Worldwide Harvard catalog of seismic moments converted to mW-magnitudes (1977-2004 and 1977-2006). We show that using…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 V. F. Pisarenko , A. Sornette , D. Sornette , M. V. Rodkin

The impact of a turbulent flow on wind-driven oceanic near-inertial waves is examined using a linearised shallow-water model of the mixed layer. Modelling the flow as a homogeneous and stationary random process with spatial scales…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-20 Eric Danioux , Jacques Vanneste

The Advanced Circulation (ADCIRC) and Simulating Nearshore Waves (SWAN) coupled model is modified to include a stochastic term in the shallow water equations that represents random external forces from debris carried by surge and short-term…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Joshua Frankie Rayo , Vena Pearl Boñgolan

During the propagation of a tsunami, gravity and sound waves can be produced, spreading from its source to the ionosphere's upper layers, thus generating perturbed electron densities in its E and F regions. These ionospheric disturbances…

Space Physics · Physics 2024-01-30 Leonor Cui Domingo Centeno , Víctor Puente García

Using a Bayesian approach we compare anecdotal tsunami runup observations from the 29 December 1820 Flores Sea earthquake with close to 200,000 tsunami simulations to determine the most probable earthquake parameters causing the tsunami.…

We report laboratory experiments on surface waves generated in a uniform fluid layer whose bottom undergoes a sudden upward motion. Simultaneous measurements of the free-surface deformation and the fluid velocity field are focused on the…

This paper presents a novel framework for full-waveform seismic source inversion using simulation-based inference (SBI). Traditional probabilistic approaches often rely on simplifying assumptions about data errors, which we show can lead to…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-15 A. A. Saoulis , D. Piras , A. Spurio Mancini , B. Joachimi , A. M. G. Ferreira

A plethora of studies in the past decade describe tsunami hazards and study their evolution from the source to the target coastline, but mainly focus on coastal inundation and maximum runup. Nonetheless, anecdotal reports from eyewitnesses,…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-15 Roberto Marivela , Robert Weiss , Costas Synolakis

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

A performance measure for a DART tsunami buoy network has been developed. The measure is based on a statistical analysis of simulated forecasts of wave heights outside an impact site and how much the forecasts are degraded in accuracy when…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-12 Donald B. Percival , Donald W. Denbo , Edison Gica , Paul Y. Huang , Harold O. Mofjeld , Michael C. Spillane , Vasily V. Titov

We study probability distributions of waves of topplings in the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld model on hypercubic lattices for dimensions D>=2. Waves represent relaxation processes which do not contain multiple toppling events. We investigate bulk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 D. V. Ktitarev , S. Lubeck , P. Grassberger , V. B. Priezzhev

In this paper, we investigate the wave solutions of a stochastic rotating shallow water model. This approximate model provides an interesting simple description of the interplay between waves and random forcing ensuing either from the wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-02 Etienne Mémin , Long Li , Noé Lahaye , Gilles Tissot , Bertrand Chapron

We present a method for locating the seismic event epicenters without assuming an Earth model of the seismic velocity structure, based on the linear relationship between $\log R$ and $\log t$ (where $R$ is the radius of spherical P wave…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-23 Rong Qiang Wei

Earthquakes are produced by the propagation of rapid slip along tectonic faults. The propagation dynamics is governed by a balance between elastic stored energy in the surrounding rock, and dissipated energy at the propagating tip of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-01 Fabian Barras , Nicolas Brantut

We review the recent researches of numerical simulations on faulting, which are interpreted in this paper as the evolution of the state of the fault plane and the evolution of fault structure. The theme includes the fault constitutive…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-07-26 Hideo Aochi , Ryosuke Ando

Earthquakes induced during hydraulic fracturing operations have occurred in a number of locales. However, in-situ studies aimed to discern the triggering mechanism remains exclusively statistical in their nature. Here, we calculate the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-23 Luyi W. Shen , Douglas R. Schmitt , Ryan Schultz

Oceanic geostrophic turbulence is mostly forced at the surface, yet strong bottom-trapped flows are commonly observed along topographic anomalies. Here we consider the case of a freely evolving, initially surface-intensified velocity field…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-04 Antoine Venaille

In order to clarify how the statistical properties of earthquakes depend on the constitutive law characterizing the stick-slip dynamics, we make an extensive numerical simulation of the one-dimensional spring-block model with the rate- and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Akio Ohmura , Hikaru Kawamura

A tsunami hazard assessment was conducted for the communities of Sigatoka and Cuvu, located on the island of Viti Levu, Fiji. The study presents an overview of historical seismic and tsunami impact on the Pacific Island nation of Fiji in…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-11-21 Diego Arcas , Christopher Moore

A presumed impact of global climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones. Due to the possible destruction that occurs when tropical cyclones make landfall, understanding their formation should be of mass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Katherine Slyman , John A. Gemmer , Nicholas K. Corak , Claire Kiers , Christopher K. R. T. Jones