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The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

Machine learning (ML)-based wildfire detection methods have been developed in recent years, primarily using deep learning (DL) models trained on large collections of wildfire images and videos. However, peatland fires exhibit distinct…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Emadeldeen Hamdan , Ahmad Faiz Tharima , Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir , Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa , Erdem Koyuncu , Adam J. Watts , Ahmet Enis Cetin

Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Idan Sulami , Alon Itzkovitch , Michael R. Kearney , Moni Shahar , Ofir Levy

Early detection of wildfires is essential to prevent large-scale fires resulting in extensive environmental, structural, and societal damage. Uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) can cover large remote areas effectively with quick deployment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julius Pesonen , Teemu Hakala , Väinö Karjalainen , Niko Koivumäki , Lauri Markelin , Anna-Maria Raita-Hakola , Juha Suomalainen , Ilkka Pölönen , Eija Honkavaara

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Weather station data is a valuable resource for climate prediction, however, its reliability can be limited in remote locations. To compound the issue, making local predictions often relies on sensor data that may not be accessible for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Iman Deznabi , Peeyush Kumar , Madalina Fiterau

Terrorism is a major problem worldwide, causing thousands of fatalities and billions of dollars in damage every year. Toward the end of better understanding and mitigating these attacks, we present a set of machine learning models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Steven J. Krieg , Christian W. Smith , Rusha Chatterjee , Nitesh V. Chawla

Wildfire prediction is important for early warning and resource allocation, yet existing Earth foundation models (Earth FMs) are pretrained for general atmospheric and geophysical objectives rather than wildfire forecasting. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Yangshuang Xu , Yuyang Dai , Liling Chang , Qi Wang , Yushun Dong

In this article, we propose a systematic approach for fire station location planning. We develop machine learning models, based on Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting, for demand prediction and utilize the models further to define a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Arnab Dey , Andrew Heger , Darin England

Wildfires, as an integral component of the Earth system, are governed by a complex interplay of atmospheric, oceanic, and terrestrial processes spanning a vast range of spatiotemporal scales. Modeling their global activity on large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Fan Xu , Wei Gong , Hao Wu , Lilan Peng , Nan Wang , Qingsong Wen , Xian Wu , Kun Wang , Xibin Zhao

Disaster response is critical to save lives and reduce damages in the aftermath of a disaster. Fundamental to disaster response operations is the management of disaster relief resources. To this end, a local agency (e.g., a local emergency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Hongzhe Zhang , Xiaohang Zhao , Xiao Fang , Bintong Chen

Computational models for understanding and predicting fire in wildland and managed lands are increasing in impact. Data characterizing the fuels and environment is needed to continue improvement in the fidelity and reliability of fire…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-23 Grant Hutchings , James Gattiker , Braden Scherting

This paper proposes a new machine learning based system for forest fire earlier detection in a low-cost and accurate manner. Accordingly, it is aimed to bring a new and definite perspective to visual detection in forest fires. A drone is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Ayşegül Yanık , Mehmet Serdar Güzel , Mertkan Yanık , Erkan Bostancı

Smoke segmentation is essential to precisely localize wildfire so that it can be extinguished in an early phase. Although deep neural networks have achieved promising results on image segmentation tasks, they are prone to be overconfident…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Siyuan Yan , Jing Zhang , Nick Barnes

Wildfires are a highly prevalent multi-causal environmental phenomenon. The impact of this phenomenon includes human losses, environmental damage and high economic costs. To mitigate these effects, several computer simulation systems have…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Jan Strappa , Paola Caymes-Scutari , Germán Bianchini

Model Predictive Control lacks the ability to escape local minima in nonconvex problems. Furthermore, in fast-changing, uncertain environments, the conventional warmstart, using the optimal trajectory from the last timestep, often falls…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Mohamed-Khalil Bouzidi , Yue Yao , Daniel Goehring , Joerg Reichardt

This research paper addresses the challenge of detecting obscured wildfires (when the fire flames are covered by trees, smoke, clouds, and other natural barriers) in real-time using drones equipped only with RGB cameras. We propose a novel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uma Meleti , Abolfazl Razi

Over the past decades, the increase in both frequency and intensity of large-scale wildfires due to climate change has emerged as a significant natural threat. The pressing need to design resilient landscapes capable of withstanding such…