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There have been many recent developments in the use of Deep Learning Neural Networks for fire detection. In this paper, we explore an early warning system for detection of forest fires. Due to the lack of sizeable datasets and models tuned…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sharjeel Ahmed , Daim Armaghan , Fatima Naweed , Umair Yousaf , Ahmad Zubair , Murtaza Taj

Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…

Wildfire modelling is an attempt to reproduce fire behaviour. Through active fire analysis, it is possible to reproduce a dynamical process, such as wildfires, with limited duration time series data. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

Wildfires are one of the costliest and deadliest natural disasters in the US, causing damage to millions of hectares of forest resources and threatening the lives of people and animals. Of particular importance are risks to firefighters and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Alireza Shamsoshoara , Fatemeh Afghah , Abolfazl Razi , Liming Zheng , Peter Z Fulé , Erik Blasch

Chimney fires constitute one of the most commonly occurring fire types. Precise prediction and prompt prevention are crucial in reducing the harm they cause. In this paper, we develop a combined machine learning and statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-15 C. Lu , M. N. M. van Lieshout , M. de Graaf , P. Visscher

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Reliable wildfire spread prediction is vital for risk-aware emergency planning, yet most deep learning models lack principled uncertainty quantification (UQ). Further, for boundary-sensitive cases like wildfire spread, evaluating models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jonas V. Funk

Bushfires are among the most destructive natural hazards in Australia, causing significant ecological, economic, and social damage. Accurate prediction of bushfire intensity is therefore essential for effective disaster preparedness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Tanvi Jois , Hussain Ahmad , Fatima Noor , Faheem Ullah

Accurate next-day active fire forecasts can support early warning, disaster response, forest risk assessment, and downstream estimation of fire-related carbon emissions. Existing machine learning approaches to wildfire forecasting typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuchen Bai , Georgios Athanasiou , Xin Yu , Diogenis Antonopoulos , Ioannis Papoutsis , Stijn Hantson , Nuno Carvalhais

The critical need for sophisticated detection techniques has been highlighted by the rising frequency and intensity of wildfires in the US, especially in California. In 2023, wildfires caused 130 deaths nationwide, the highest since 1990.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Gowtham Raj Vuppari , Navarun Gupta , Ahmed El-Sayed , Xingguo Xiong

With fires becoming increasingly frequent and severe across the globe in recent years, understanding climate change's role in fire behavior is critical for quantifying current and future fire risk. However, global climate models typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Tristan Ballard , Gopal Erinjippurath

With climate change intensifying fire weather conditions globally, accurate seasonal wildfire forecasting has become critical for disaster preparedness and ecosystem management. We introduce FireCastNet, a novel deep learning architecture…

Wildfire risk prediction remains a critical yet challenging task due to the complex interactions among fuel conditions, meteorology, topography, and human activity. Despite growing interest in data-driven approaches, publicly available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zhengsen Xu , Sibo Cheng , Lanying Wang , Hongjie He , Wentao Sun , Jonathan Li , Lincoln Linlin Xu

Climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of wildfires, making rapid and accurate prediction of fire spread essential for effective mitigation and response. Physics-based simulators such as FARSITE offer high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Taehoon Kang , Taeyong Kim

In recent years wildfires have caused havoc across the world, especially aggravated in certain regions, due to climate change. Remote sensing has become a powerful tool for monitoring fires, as well as for measuring their effects on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-24 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Fernando M. Cucchietti

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Roberto Beneduci , Giovanni Mascali

The increasing size and severity of wildfires across the western United States have generated dangerous levels of PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations in recent years. In a changing climate, expanding the use of prescribed fires is widely considered…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-27 Kyleen Liao , Jatan Buch , Kara Lamb , Pierre Gentine

Recent wildfires in Australia have led to considerable economic loss and property destruction, and there is increasing concern that climate change may exacerbate their intensity, duration, and frequency. Hazard quantification for extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-12 Daniela Cisneros , Jordan Richards , Ashok Dahal , Luigi Lombardo , Raphaël Huser
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