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Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

This paper deals with the market-bidding problem of a cluster of price-responsive consumers of electricity. We develop an inverse optimization scheme that, recast as a bilevel programming problem, uses price-consumption data to estimate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales , Marco Zugno , Henrik Madsen

Choice modeling is at the core of understanding how changes to the competitive landscape affect consumer choices and reshape market equilibria. In this paper, we propose a fundamental characterization of choice functions that encompasses a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-21 Amandeep Singh , Ye Liu , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We study the utilitarian distortion of social choice mechanisms under the recently proposed learning-augmented framework where some (possibly unreliable) predicted information about the preferences of the agents is given as input. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Georgios Kalantzis , Alexandros A. Voudouris

Interest has been growing in decision-focused machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Carlos Patiño , Yewon Byun , Steven Wu , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

Two-sided matching markets describe a large class of problems wherein participants from one side of the market must be matched to those from the other side according to their preferences. In many real-world applications (e.g. content…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Hadi Hosseini , Sanjukta Roy , Duohan Zhang

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Learning customer preferences from an observed behaviour is an important topic in the marketing literature. Structural models typically model forward-looking customers or firms as utility-maximizing agents whose utility is estimated using…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-14 Igor Halperin

We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alexander M. G. Cox , David Hobson , Jan Obloj

We consider a learning problem for the stable marriage model under unknown preferences for the left side of the market. We focus on the centralized case, where at each time step, an online platform matches the agents, and obtains a noisy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Andreas Athanasopoulos , Anne-Marie George , Christos Dimitrakakis

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Peter W. Marcy , Rebecca E. Morrison

We provide sufficient conditions under which a utility function may be recovered from a finite choice experiment. Identification, as is commonly understood in decision theory, is not enough. We provide a general recoverability result that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-30 Christopher P. Chambers , Federico Echenique , Nicolas S. Lambert

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Anis Matoussi , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou

Estimating consumer preferences is central to many problems in economics and marketing. This paper develops a flexible framework for learning individual preferences from partial ranking information by interpreting observed rankings as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yu-Chang Chen , Chen Chian Fuh , Shang En Tsai

Results from the communication complexity literature have demonstrated that stable matching requires communication: one cannot find or verify a stable match without having access to essentially all of the ordinal preference information held…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-09 Naveen Durvasula

We consider the problem of forecasting the aggregate demand of a pool of price-responsive consumers of electricity. The price-response of the aggregation is modeled by an optimization problem that is characterized by a set of marginal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales

Matching plays a vital role in the rational allocation of resources in many areas, ranging from market operation to people's daily lives. In economics, the term matching theory is coined for pairing two agents in a specific market to reach…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jing Ren , Feng Xia , Xiangtai Chen , Jiaying Liu , Mingliang Hou , Ahsan Shehzad , Nargiz Sultanova , Xiangjie Kong

This paper describes a numerical method to solve for mean product qualities which equates the real market share to the market share predicted by a discrete choice model. The method covers a general class of discrete choice model, including…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-28 Lixiong Li

Recommendation for e-commerce with a mix of durable and nondurable goods has characteristics that distinguish it from the well-studied media recommendation problem. The demand for items is a combined effect of form utility and time utility,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jinfeng Yi , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Kush Varshney , Lijun Zhang , Yao Li
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