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Related papers: Learning New Physics from an Imperfect Machine

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The pursuit of discovering new phenomena at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) demands constant innovation in algorithms and technologies. Tensor networks are mathematical models on the intersection of classical and quantum machine learning,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-11-05 Ema Puljak , Maurizio Pierini , Artur Garcia-Saez

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a solution satisfying certain non-negativity constraints to a linear system of equations. Importantly and in contrast to some prior work, we allow all parameters in the system…

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a non-negative solution to a possibly under-determined system of linear equations with known coefficients. This hypothesis testing problem arises naturally in a number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Zheng Fang , Andres Santos , Azeem M. Shaikh , Alexander Torgovitsky

In this new era of large data, it is important to make sure we do not miss any signs of new physics. Using the publicly-available open data collected by the arXiv.org experiment in the \texttt{hep-ph} channel, corresponding to a raw total…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-01 Rikab Gambhir

We present the results of a realistic global fit of the Lagrangian parameters of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model to simulated data from ILC and LHC with realistic estimates of the observable uncertainties. Higher order radiative…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Philip Bechtle , Klaus Desch , Peter Wienemann

We introduce a novel methodology for addressing systematic uncertainties in unbinned inclusive cross-section measurements and related collider-based inference problems. Our approach incorporates known analytic dependencies on parameters of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-01-21 Lisa Benato , Cristina Giordano , Claudius Krause , Ang Li , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz , Maryam Shooshtari , Daohan Wang

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

Benchmarking the capabilities of AI systems, including Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Models, typically ignores the impact of uncertainty in the underlying ground truth answers from experts. This ambiguity is not just limited to…

Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit strong performance across various natural language processing (NLP) tasks but remain vulnerable to hallucinations, generating factually incorrect or misleading outputs. Uncertainty estimation, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Manh Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Hung Le

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

Laplace approximations are classic, computationally lightweight means for constructing Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). As in other approximate BNNs, one cannot necessarily expect the induced predictive uncertainty to be calibrated. Here we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Agustinus Kristiadi , Matthias Hein , Philipp Hennig

We study the benefit of modern simulation-based inference to constrain particle interactions at the LHC. We explore ways to incorporate known physics structures into likelihood estimation, specifically morphing-aware estimation and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-01 Henning Bahl , Victor Bresó , Giovanni De Crescenzo , Tilman Plehn

In the realm of dijet searches in high-energy physics, a significant challenge has emerged: with experiments producing more and more data, the traditional methods of using analytic functions to describe dijet mass spectra start to fail. To…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-03-14 Sergei V. Chekanov , Rui Zhang

Due to their increasing spread, confidence in neural network predictions became more and more important. However, basic neural networks do not deliver certainty estimates or suffer from over or under confidence. Many researchers have been…

Data taking at the LHC is the beginning of a new era in particle physics which will lead us towards understanding the completion of the Standard Model at and beyond the TeV scale. I discuss different approaches to new physics searches:…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-02-28 Tilman Plehn

We study how to utilize (possibly erroneous) predictions in a model for computing under uncertainty in which an algorithm can query unknown data. Our aim is to minimize the number of queries needed to solve the minimum spanning tree…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Thomas Erlebach , Murilo Santos de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

Signal-agnostic data exploration based on machine learning could unveil very subtle statistical deviations of collider data from the expected Standard Model of particle physics. The beneficial impact of a large training sample on machine…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-09-17 Gaia Grosso

To more flexibly balance between exploration and exploitation, a new meta-heuristic method based on Uncertainty Principle concepts is proposed in this paper. UP is is proved effective in multiple branches of science. In the branch of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Mojtaba Moattari , Mohammad Hassan Moradi , Emad Roshandel