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We move beyond "Is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?" by adding the "how". The current forecasting literature has focused on matching specific variables and horizons with a particularly successful algorithm. In…

Forest biomass is a key influence for future climate, and the world urgently needs highly scalable financing schemes, such as carbon offsetting certifications, to protect and restore forests. Current manual forest carbon stock inventory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Gyri Reiersen , David Dao , Björn Lütjens , Konstantin Klemmer , Kenza Amara , Attila Steinegger , Ce Zhang , Xiaoxiang Zhu

Gentrification--the transformation of a low-income urban area caused by the influx of affluent residents--has many revitalizing benefits. However, it also poses extremely concerning challenges to low-income residents. To help policymakers…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Javad Eshtiyagh , Baotong Zhang , Yujing Sun , Linhui Wu , Zhao Wang

In recent years several complaints about racial discrimination in appraising home values have been accumulating. For several decades, to estimate the sale price of the residential properties, appraisers have been walking through the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-15 Mahdieh Yazdani

In this short article, I leverage the National Crime Victimization Survey from 1992 to 2022 to examine how income, education, employment, and key demographic factors shape the type of crime victims experience (violent vs property). Using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-06 Sydney Anuyah

This paper introduces a rule for policy selection in the presence of estimation uncertainty, explicitly accounting for estimation risk. The rule belongs to the class of risk-aware rules on the efficient decision frontier, characterized as…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Victor Chernozhukov , Sokbae Lee , Adam M. Rosen , Liyang Sun

Microfinance, despite its significant potential for poverty reduction, is facing sustainability hardships due to high default rates. Although many methods in regular finance can estimate credit scores and default probabilities, these…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Christian Kurniawan , Xiyu Deng , Adhiraj Chakraborty , Assane Gueye , Niangjun Chen , Yorie Nakahira

We investigate the effectiveness of different machine learning methodologies in predicting economic cycles. We identify the deep learning methodology of Bi-LSTM with Autoencoder as the most accurate model to forecast the beginning and end…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-26 Zihao Wang , Kun Li , Steve Q. Xia , Hongfu Liu

This work presents an approach for combining household demographic and living standards survey questions with features derived from satellite imagery to predict the poverty rate of a region. Our approach utilizes visual features obtained…

Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero

In order to track and comprehend the academic achievement of students, both private and public educational institutions devote a significant amount of resources and labour. One of the difficult issues that institutes deal with on a regular…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Bibhuprasad Mahakud , Bibhuti Parida , Ipsit Panda , Souvik Maity , Arpita Sahoo , Reeta Sharma

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

We describe how interpretable boosting algorithms based on ridge-regularized generalized linear models can be used to analyze high-dimensional environmental data. We illustrate this by using environmental, social, human and biophysical data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-05 Fabian Obster , Christian Heumann , Heidi Bohle , Paul Pechan

The term structure of interest rates or yield curve is a function relating the interest rate with its own term. Nonlinear regression models of Nelson-Siegel and Svensson were used to estimate the yield curve using a sample of historical…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-06 Andres Quiros-Granados , JAvier Trejos-Zelaya

In this modern era of overpopulation disease prediction is a crucial step in diagnosing various diseases at an early stage. With the advancement of various machine learning algorithms, the prediction has become quite easy. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Ishu Gupta , Vartika Sharma , Sizman Kaur , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

The development of an intelligent agricultural decision-supporting system for crop selection and disease forecasting in Bangladesh is the main objective of this work. The economy of the nation depends heavily on agriculture. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Forkan Uddin Ahmed , Annesha Das , Md Zubair

Neonatal death is still a concerning reality for underdeveloped and even some developed countries. Worldwide data indicate that 26.693 babies out of 1,000 births die, according to Macro Trades. To reduce this number, early prediction of…

Major decisions from governments and other large organizations rely on measurements of the populace's well-being, but making such measurements at a broad scale is expensive and thus infrequent in much of the developing world. We propose an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Jihyeon Lee , Dylan Grosz , Burak Uzkent , Sicheng Zeng , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Many recent studies use machine learning to predict a small number of ICD-9-CM codes. In practice, on the other hand, physicians have to consider a broader range of diagnoses. This study aims to put these previously incongruent evaluation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Gil Alon , Elizabeth Chen , Guergana Savova , Carsten Eickhoff